Kalshi · Polymarket

Is this trader actually good, or did they get lucky?

Every prediction-market leaderboard ranks by raw dollars. We rank by skill -- win rate, average edge, and calibration, weighted by how much history actually backs it up.

102,471

Markets tracked

$3.64B

Volume tracked

148

Traders watched

Most active markets

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More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?

kalshi · $31.4M vol · Search on Kalshi

92¢

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

kalshi · $26.9M vol · Search on Kalshi

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

kalshi · $25.9M vol · Search on Kalshi

16¢

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?

kalshi · $18.1M vol · Search on Kalshi

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

kalshi · $15.0M vol · Search on Kalshi

33¢

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

kalshi · $14.2M vol · Search on Kalshi

65¢

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