Tier
Good
Over the last 30 days, five5120 closed 38 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +23% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, five5120 shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #70 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#70
Sirtio score
73.1
Avg edge (per position)
+23%
Positions (30d)
38
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 38 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 88% of five5120's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+23%
across 38 positions
Z-score
+3.12
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
73.1
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$9,266 on "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage" (a 27% return). The worst was a -$16,900 loss on "LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner".
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Hanwha Life Esports
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Hanwha Life Esports
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Gen.G
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Gen.G
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LYON
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LYON
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
Karmine Corp
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
Karmine Corp
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
FlyQuest
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
FlyQuest
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
Bilibili Gaming
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
Bilibili Gaming
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner