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SPCEXBUYER

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, SPCEXBUYER closed 60 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +46% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, SPCEXBUYER shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #84 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#84

Sirtio score

72.4

Avg edge (per position)

+46%

Positions (90d)

60

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 60 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 85% of SPCEXBUYER's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+46%

across 60 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.45

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

72.4

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$244,500 on "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner" (a 96% return). The worst was a -$93,667 loss on "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

TEAM VISION

+$244,50096%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Team Liquid

+$223,85881%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Team Liquid

+$219,27074%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Team Falcons

+$203,827118%

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

ThunderTalk Gaming

+$128,00968%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Team Resilience

-$93,667-100%

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

HANJIN BRION

-$25,998-44%

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Movistar KOI

-$25,720-44%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Team Yandex

-$19,729-100%

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Fluxo W7M

-$3,528-49%

All Positions (Since Tracked Aug 14, 2026)

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldFUT Esports54c entry
+$5,3187%

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldNongshim Red Force56c entry
+$735%

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 26, 2026SoldM8024c entry
+$814%

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 26, 2026SoldHANJIN BRION37c entry
+$2,4468%

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Resolved Aug 24, 2026SoldNatus Vincere43c entry
+$112%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldTEAM VISION46c entry
+$9846%

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldFUT Esports46c entry
+$36,8689%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldTeam Yandex30c entry
+$37410%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldTEAM VISION51c entry
+$244,50096%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldFUT Esports39c entry
+$483%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldTeam Liquid57c entry
+$219,27074%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldTeam Liquid55c entry
+$223,85881%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldTeam Falcons46c entry
+$203,827118%

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldFaZe37c entry
+$2005%

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldG242c entry
+$1,3987%

LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldLGD Gaming26c entry
+$11219%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Resolved Aug 19, 2026SoldBoomBoys29c entry
+$502%

LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 17, 2026SoldT154c entry
-$308-12%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 16, 2026RedeemedTEAM VISION67c entry
+$93,85950%

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 16, 2026RedeemedTeam Falcons51c entry
+$11,35394%

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 16, 2026RedeemedDplus KIA47c entry
+$76,349112%

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldHANJIN BRION74c entry
-$25,998-44%

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldNIP45c entry
+$572%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldTeam Resilience31c entry
-$93,667-100%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldKT Rolster27c entry
+$1,95915%

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldLNG Esports22c entry
+$26810%

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldTheMongolz27c entry
+$5117%

Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldNIP35c entry
+$123,291187%

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldDplus KIA21c entry
+$55,747369%

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTEAM VISION66c entry
+$32,48252%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam Yandex70c entry
-$19,729-100%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldNigma Galaxy45c entry
+$56,007121%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam Spirit55c entry
+$80,52181%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam Spirit51c entry
+$12,19996%

Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldImperial55c entry
+$11,96182%

Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldKeyd56c entry
+$16,81079%

Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 7, 2026SoldBESTIA50c entry
+$16%

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 3, 2026SoldNatus Vincere62c entry
+$23,22962%

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 3, 2026SoldNatus Vincere58c entry
+$42,98873%

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 2, 2026SoldFnatic77c entry
+$5,05629%

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Resolved Aug 2, 2026SoldFluxo W7M49c entry
-$3,528-49%

LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 2, 2026SoldSK Gaming23c entry
+$3095%

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Resolved Aug 2, 2026SoldMOUZ21c entry
+$120,436376%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports57c entry
+$64,35075%

LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldBNK FEARX76c entry
+$34,65132%

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldTeam WE63c entry
+$23,57259%

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldTeam WE66c entry
+$35,29151%

LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldBNK FEARX73c entry
+$6,27536%

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 30, 2026SoldNinjas in Pyjamas44c entry
+$5578%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Jul 26, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming56c entry
+$22,28279%

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 26, 2026SoldThunderTalk Gaming59c entry
+$128,00968%

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Jul 26, 2026SoldThunderTalk Gaming78c entry
+$4,52628%

LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 25, 2026SoldFlyQuest48c entry
+$424%

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Jul 25, 2026SoldTop Esports68c entry
+$40%

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldMovistar KOI60c entry
-$25,720-44%

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldTeam WE29c entry
+$4,64899%

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldOG27c entry
+$2094%

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldFOKUS45c entry
+$109,915122%

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldJD Gaming51c entry
+$59,82696%