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bigspending

View on Polymarket

Tier

Elite

Over the last 90 days, bigspending closed 27 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +95% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, bigspending ranks among the most skilled Polymarket traders we track and currently sits at rank #10 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#10

Sirtio score

96.2

Avg edge (per position)

+95%

Positions (90d)

27

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 27 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 59% of bigspending's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+95%

across 27 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+14.93

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

96.2

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$96,805 on "Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?" (a 70% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report.

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?

Yes

+$96,80570%

Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)

FC Internazionale Milano

+$47,460147%

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-23?

Yes

+$46,76659%

Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-09?

Yes

+$40,228125%

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?

No

+$24,22379%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

No losing positions in this window.

All Positions (Since Tracked Aug 14, 2026)

Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-09-01?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026RedeemedNo53c entry
+$19,21088%

AEK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 28, 2026RedeemedOver46c entry
+$22,034117%

AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 26, 2026RedeemedOver48c entry
+$53108%

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-25?

Resolved Aug 26, 2026RedeemedYes65c entry
+$6,61154%

Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-08-25?

Resolved Aug 26, 2026RedeemedNo62c entry
+$6,76061%

Will Vitória SC win on 2026-08-23?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026RedeemedYes59c entry
+$3,08070%

Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026RedeemedYes51c entry
+$19,44896%

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-23?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026RedeemedYes63c entry
+$46,76659%

Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 23, 2026RedeemedOver47c entry
+$13,011113%

Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)

Resolved Aug 23, 2026RedeemedFC Internazionale Milano40c entry
+$47,460147%

Will AZ win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026RedeemedYes61c entry
+$5,53764%

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026RedeemedYes41c entry
+$10,821144%

Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026RedeemedNo70c entry
+$1,64043%

Will AZ win on 2026-08-15?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026RedeemedYes41c entry
+$4,534144%

Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 18, 2026RedeemedSC Heerenveen55c entry
+$49982%

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026RedeemedNo56c entry
+$24,22379%

Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026RedeemedYes65c entry
+$19,95155%

Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-08-15?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedNo58c entry
+$9,91972%

Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-08-15?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedYes41c entry
+$9,353144%

Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-14?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedYes51c entry
+$6,43596%

Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedOver41c entry
+$21,684144%

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-14?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedYes59c entry
+$9369%

Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-15?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedYes48c entry
+$6,493108%

Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedYes56c entry
+$5,85079%

Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?

Resolved Aug 14, 2026RedeemedYes59c entry
+$96,80570%

Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-09?

Resolved Aug 11, 2026RedeemedYes45c entry
+$40,228125%

Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-08-08?

Resolved Aug 11, 2026RedeemedYes43c entry
+$13,893133%