Tier
Great
Over the last 30 days, 0xf12f76...76b30f closed 65 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +87% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, 0xf12f76...76b30f has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #41 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#41
Sirtio score
86.2
Avg edge (per position)
+87%
Positions (30d)
65
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 65 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 91% of 0xf12f76...76b30f's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+87%
across 65 positions
Z-score
+5.72
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
86.2
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$15,177 on "Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney" (a 920% return). The worst was a -$4,358 loss on "Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch".
Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney
Jake Delaney
Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney
Jake Delaney
Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian
Valerio Aboian
Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian
Valerio Aboian
Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel Tobon
Valerio Aboian
Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel Tobon
Valerio Aboian
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic
Maya Joint
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic
Maya Joint
Florence: Sandro Kopp vs Filippo Romano
Sandro Kopp
Florence: Sandro Kopp vs Filippo Romano
Sandro Kopp
Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch
Tom Gentzsch
Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch
Tom Gentzsch
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Colombia
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Colombia
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi
Tallon Griekspoor
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi
Tallon Griekspoor
Shimabukuro vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 22.5
Over
Shimabukuro vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 22.5
Over
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler
Mathys Erhard
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann
Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar
Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar
Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko
Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko
FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov
Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic
Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Yannick Hanfmann
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Yannick Hanfmann
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Rinky Hijikata
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Rinky Hijikata
Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch
Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Darwin Blanch
Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko
Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sebastian Dominko
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch
Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch
ITF Wetzlar: Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Jack Loge
ITF Wetzlar: Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Jack Loge
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym
Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian
Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar
Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney
Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney
Sioux Falls: Aidan Mayo vs Maks Kasnikowski
Sioux Falls: Aidan Mayo vs Maks Kasnikowski
Brest: Federico Cina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Brest: Federico Cina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian
Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian
Valencia vs. Fenerbahce
Valencia vs. Fenerbahce
Brest: Tom Paris vs Borna Gojo
Brest: Tom Paris vs Borna Gojo
Brest: Matisse Bobichon vs Michael Geerts
Brest: Matisse Bobichon vs Michael Geerts
Shimabukuro vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 22.5
Shimabukuro vs. Hurkacz: Match O/U 22.5
Brest: Robin Catry vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
Brest: Robin Catry vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier
M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel
M25 Sarreguemines: Philip Henning vs Arthur Nagel
M15 Monastir: Liam Gavrielides vs Kasra Rahmani
M15 Monastir: Liam Gavrielides vs Kasra Rahmani
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian
Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian
Florence: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Michele Ribecai
Florence: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Michele Ribecai
Florence: Sandro Kopp vs Filippo Romano
Florence: Sandro Kopp vs Filippo Romano
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic
Knicks vs. Celtics
Knicks vs. Celtics
Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel Tobon
Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel Tobon
Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov
Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov
European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo
European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Francisco Cerundolo
Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider
Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider
Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini
Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini
European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley
European Open: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw
Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw
Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller
Lisbon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer Moeller
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler
Roanne: Matteo Martineau vs Mika Brunold
Roanne: Matteo Martineau vs Mika Brunold
Manacor: Felix Balshaw vs Alexandre Muller
Manacor: Felix Balshaw vs Alexandre Muller
ITF The Hague: Alexander Maarten Sander Jong vs Eero Vasa
ITF The Hague: Alexander Maarten Sander Jong vs Eero Vasa
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell
Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari
Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari
Catania: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin Moeller
Catania: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin Moeller
Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Damir Dzumhur
Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Damir Dzumhur
Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch
Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska
Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic
Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic
Catania: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla Valle
Catania: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla Valle
Jinan: Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva
Jinan: Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Nikola Bartunkova
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Nikola Bartunkova
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina