Over the last 30 days, Ramdan closed 482 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +54% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Ramdan has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #34 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#34
Sirtio score
88.8
Avg edge (per position)
+54%
Positions (30d)
482
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 482 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 44% of Ramdan's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+54%
across 482 positions
Z-score
+9.06
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
88.8
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
No positions resolved in the last 30 days for this wallet.