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balthazar

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 30 days, balthazar closed 896 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +23% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, balthazar has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #20 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#20

Sirtio score

93.4

Avg edge (per position)

+23%

Positions (30d)

896

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 896 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 74% of balthazar's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+23%

across 896 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+8.30

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

93.4

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$28,000 on "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?" (a 11% return). The worst was a -$735 loss on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?".

Top 5 Wins (Last 30 Days)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

--

+$28,00011%

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes

+$14,7666319%

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes

+$13,612887%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes

+$7,26254%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes

+$4,62062%

Top 5 Losses (Last 30 Days)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes

-$735-8%

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Yes

-$313-5%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes

-$249-5%

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Yes

-$170-10%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Yes

-$151-56%

All Positions (Since Tracked Oct 13, 2026)

Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$139%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$132%

Will Braga win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$17%

Will Ajax win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$211%

Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$617%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes1c entry
+$2015918%

Will Monaco win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$316%

Will Ivana Lucáková Nesétová be the next Mayor of Ostrava?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$203520%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$422%

Will SC Freiburg win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$29%

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes0c entry
+$2033233%

Will Red Star Belgrade win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes29c entry
+$14245%

Will White House post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Midtjylland win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$13194%

Will Lugano win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$02%

Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo82c entry
+$3122%

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$317%

Will Getafe win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Trabzonspor win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo64c entry
+$756%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$1223%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 2?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$215%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$41434%

Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$225%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 0%-5%?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 3, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$103%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$215%

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 31?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$2-4%

Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$412%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$225%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 18% or more?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$219%

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$722%

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 31?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$20101%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo42c entry
+$29138%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$12%

Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will BNG win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes12c entry
+$141888%

Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$23%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$12%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$225%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$2335%

Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$7-7%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on November 2?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$215%

Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$215%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Democrats win the Michigan, Texas, and Ohio Senate seats?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo39c entry
+$25160%

Will Shas win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes27c entry
+$45270%

Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$1574%

Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will Caliste have the most kills at Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo64c entry
+$31162%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$13%

Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$812%

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$13%

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$22%

Will Jalen Johnson win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes64c entry
+$7929%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$1610%

Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$32%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Deni Avdija win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo35c entry
+$158188%

Will Alperen Sengun win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$131%

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$910%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on November 1?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$2339%

Will Tyrese Haliburton win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes29c entry
+$268993%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$9319%

Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$463%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 18% or more?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$4470%

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Scottie Barnes win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes86c entry
+$5016%

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes70c entry
-$90-66%

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes72c entry
+$19571%

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$11%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11612%

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 8, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes83c entry
-$0-0%

Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11812%

Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$6226%

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$35330%

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes57c entry
-$170-10%

Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo23c entry
+$123336%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$85%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$5528%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo72c entry
+$4539%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$32%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$53%

Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldNo78c entry
+$39%

Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes73c entry
-$8-2%

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$40%

Will Devin Booker win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$1410%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$52%

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$20%

Will Stephen Curry win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$177%

Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldNo73c entry
+$212%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$3311%

Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$80%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 31?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo12c entry
+$106749%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes77c entry
-$50-29%

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$119%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes56c entry
+$43%

Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$6296%

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$40126%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes52c entry
+$19931%

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$345111%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$28417%

Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes58c entry
+$12526%

Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$21%

Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo16c entry
+$181525%

Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$10429%

Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes18c entry
+$176455%

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo83c entry
+$3620%

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes62c entry
+$9151%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$2712%

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$13920951%

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes86c entry
+$53%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes55c entry
-$151-56%

Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes91c entry
-$96-53%

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldNo56c entry
+$02%

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026Merged50c entry
+$28,00011%

Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes6c entry
+$1321588%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 31?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes3c entry
-$3-86%

Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 9, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes5c entry
-$1-63%

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$1310%

Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes62c entry
-$8-10%

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$4222%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$96%

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$21%

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$64%

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes24c entry
+$177319%

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$9467%

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$42%

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes68c entry
+$125%

Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldNo44c entry
+$22127%

Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$21420%

Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$22921%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$23021%

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldNo24c entry
-$8-29%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$23021%

Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$41%

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes98c entry
+$11%

Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes95c entry
+$105%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$761%

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes35c entry
+$71558%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes0c entry
-$5-19%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes2c entry
-$68-61%

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$73-9%

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes33c entry
+$94%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes17c entry
-$3-12%

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes2c entry
-$1-43%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes2c entry
-$0-24%

Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes34c entry
+$2916%

Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes10c entry
+$1246%

Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldNo7c entry
+$17778%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$13813%

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes87c entry
+$41%

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$86%

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$85%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes7c entry
-$2-97%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 31?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-89%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$23021%

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$61%

Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$22821%

Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$273%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$273%

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldNo0c entry
+$2367%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$21%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$11%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$21%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes92c entry
+$10%

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedYes91c entry
+$31%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$253%

Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$243%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$243%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$243%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$243%

Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$225%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$235%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$215%

Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$208%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$21%

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$235%

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?

Resolved Oct 31, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$225%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$58%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$210%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$931%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$18%

Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo56c entry
+$2077%

Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$791%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$17%

Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo18c entry
+$7462%

Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo52c entry
+$3891%

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$1,11917%

Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$37845%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 30?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or higher on October 30?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldYes2c entry
-$0-72%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo40c entry
+$63151%

Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$317%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$05%

Will New York Knicks vs Utah Jazz be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Philadelphia 76ers vs Utah Jazz be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$16%

Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo54c entry
+$72193%

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo80c entry
+$27154%

Will Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo82c entry
+$422%

Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo82c entry
+$222%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo72c entry
+$19543%

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo68c entry
+$347%

Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo83c entry
+$321%

Will Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$314%

Will Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$1055%

Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes15c entry
+$401212%

Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo44c entry
+$6127%

Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes64c entry
+$1630%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$249-5%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes67c entry
-$7-26%

Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$13%

Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$1010%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$15%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo37c entry
+$29171%

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$872%

Will Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Lakers be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes33c entry
+$577167%

Will United Torah Judaism win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$12%

Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$365144%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$1-7%

Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes61c entry
-$4-18%

Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes59c entry
+$317%

Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$16%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$684%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes28c entry
+$978%

Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$424%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Podemos win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo19c entry
+$20414%

Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$13179%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo27c entry
+$15271%

Will voter turnout be less than 66% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$85%

Will Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo64c entry
+$756%

Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$317%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will London have 110mm or more of precipitation in October?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$722%

Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes78c entry
+$929%

Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo83c entry
+$14921%

Will New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo41c entry
+$12146%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Philadelphia 76ers vs Minnesota Timberwolves be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo60c entry
+$1067%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes55c entry
+$1432%

Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$301%

Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes56c entry
-$3-11%

Will Indiana Pacers vs San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Finals matchup?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes57c entry
-$0-1%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$523%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$38244%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes59c entry
+$740%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$15%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo25c entry
+$20299%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or higher on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-80%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$0-0%

Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$28133%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes58c entry
+$1272%

Trail Blazers vs. Lakers

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedTrail Blazers56c entry
-$23-10%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$2-5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$67-7%

Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$23130%

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$381813%

Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo62c entry
+$2361%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes60c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$417%

Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$537%

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes16c entry
+$1,376455%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$452281%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$9211%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldYes34c entry
+$7592%

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo80c entry
+$304339%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes58c entry
-$50-14%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$38%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$21116%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedTampa Bay Rays55c entry
-$16-10%

Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldYes45c entry
-$11-14%

Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldNo48c entry
+$10100%

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo76c entry
+$1231%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$24%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$3-5%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$49-15%

Nets vs. Celtics

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNets54c entry
-$37-7%

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$228%

Pistons vs. Knicks

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedPistons35c entry
+$1843%

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$135%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes68c entry
+$311%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo10c entry
+$45920%

Will Shas win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$827%

Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo37c entry
+$37167%

Will RZP-Zehut win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$29%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes58c entry
-$6-14%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes2c entry
+$365626%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$39%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 0%-5%?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$414%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes33c entry
+$17126%

Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$33%

Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$2672365%

Will RZP-Zehut win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes14c entry
+$34632%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$22%

Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldYes20c entry
+$6087%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$52%

Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$55%

Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be at least $175M by November 30?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$24%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo68c entry
+$1346%

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$1927%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$401812%

Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo72c entry
+$34321%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$693100%

Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$1635%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$1226%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 29?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$46%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes27c entry
+$551011%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$2361%

Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldNo86c entry
-$10-29%

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$60118%

Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$40%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes79c entry
+$38238%

Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$914%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes66c entry
+$31%

Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$80%

Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$603%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes57c entry
+$3718%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026MergedYes83c entry
+$16226%

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$794%

Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$185110%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$15210%

Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$146%

Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldNo2c entry
+$127%

Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$49069%

Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$60%

Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$141%

Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$20%

Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$143%

Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes93c entry
+$33%

Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$42612%

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$30%

Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$51%

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$1,821131%

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes56c entry
+$1129%

Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes7c entry
+$0117%

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$30%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes36c entry
-$11-5%

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes44c entry
+$20641%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes69c entry
+$7211%

Will Anthropic IPO on November 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes3c entry
+$13021304%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 28?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$1729%

Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$1210%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes52c entry
+$11%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedYes55c entry
+$25754%

Will Anthropic IPO on November 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$122905%

Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$83%

Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes13c entry
+$21357%

Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldNo4c entry
-$2-67%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes4c entry
-$0-97%

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$61%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes6c entry
-$3-84%

James Norton announced as next James Bond?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$114%

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$114%

Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes49c entry
-$7-18%

Will Aleš Vrhovec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$61%

Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$14743%

Will Yoav Segalovich be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$12%

Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldYes65c entry
-$12-48%

Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026SoldNo32c entry
+$24185%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 28?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$46728%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will LeBron James win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?

Resolved Oct 27, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$28142%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$3,54038%

Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by October 31?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldNo91c entry
-$0-4%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes59c entry
+$3,59434%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$7,26254%

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$957%

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$13248%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$13-14%

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$47071%

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes63c entry
+$511%

Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes72c entry
+$359%

Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$142%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes70c entry
+$2,70255%

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$51057%

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes81c entry
+$433%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes74c entry
+$2,804297%

Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes96c entry
+$13%

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$86174%

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$531%

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$20%

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes89c entry
+$125%

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldNo33c entry
+$12%

Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes13c entry
+$7127%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes56c entry
+$2119%

Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldNo26c entry
+$55174%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$108113%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes52c entry
+$31%

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes8c entry
-$3-13%

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes61c entry
+$116%

Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes56c entry
-$75-11%

Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes72c entry
-$28-38%

Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$12225%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$735-8%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes0c entry
-$1-55%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes10c entry
-$3-5%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes0c entry
-$1-58%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$4,62062%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$111%

Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo57c entry
+$1476%

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo34c entry
+$10194%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo68c entry
+$547%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldNo29c entry
+$1241%

Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$14%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 65%-70%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$214%

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$1427%

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$1028%

Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$4576%

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes57c entry
-$5-12%

Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes7c entry
-$3-91%

Will the Student List win 30-35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$85%

Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$65%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes89c entry
+$313%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-47%

Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo11c entry
+$27809%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes92c entry
+$29%

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes65c entry
-$0-1%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes24c entry
+$86216%

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$22%

Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$414%

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes97c entry
+$60%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldNo75c entry
-$6-8%

Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$940%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes12c entry
+$8240%

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes71c entry
-$313-5%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes55c entry
+$111%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$14124%

Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$2011%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$42%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be at least 5.5%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will T1 win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$1219%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will PP win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$09%

Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo70c entry
+$043%

Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo68c entry
+$147%

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo57c entry
+$1476%

Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo64c entry
+$056%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$08%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo66c entry
+$151%

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo62c entry
+$1060%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo74c entry
+$035%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo80c entry
+$025%

Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldNo77c entry
+$829%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes51c entry
-$1-3%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo50c entry
+$5100%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$4832%

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo72c entry
+$1740%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo23c entry
+$8344%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes38c entry
+$432%

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes17c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes56c entry
+$662%

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$148119%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 27?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$04%

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$022%

Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$26427%

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$4821%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes11c entry
+$2411%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$023%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo48c entry
+$8108%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$126%

Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$030%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes58c entry
-$6-7%

Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$120%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$116%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$212%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will Podemos win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$137%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$213%

Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$016%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes7c entry
+$161321%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$14%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-1%

Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo71c entry
+$242%

Will Peter Cibulka win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$523%

Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$228%

Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes33c entry
+$24129%

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or higher on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo18c entry
+$6442%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$118%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo54c entry
+$1986%

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldNo56c entry
-$122-79%

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$511%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$89%

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$1014%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes43c entry
+$13%

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes22c entry
+$25%

Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes52c entry
+$1927%

Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes68c entry
+$46%

Will ERC win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo71c entry
+$741%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes68c entry
-$12-26%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes60c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$2262%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo30c entry
+$6235%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes65c entry
-$4-23%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$535%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$2-8%

Will Alexander Riabov win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will François Hollande win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo49c entry
+$6105%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$338%

Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$55%

Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$1830%

Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo67c entry
+$2550%

Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo82c entry
+$522%

Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$20041%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$34%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$218%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes26c entry
+$50%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes21c entry
+$11376%

Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$1-4%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$15%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$213%

Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$111%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11219%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes12c entry
+$13733%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes2c entry
+$144596%

Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo80c entry
+$425%

Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes56c entry
+$2679%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will DeSean Bishop be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$537%

Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes97c entry
+$131%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes59c entry
-$83-46%

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$54953%

Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$32%

Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo74c entry
+$635%

Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$44%

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$312%

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$634%

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes63c entry
+$681827%

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$2624%

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$311%

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$15%

Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes67c entry
+$674%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo61c entry
+$3265%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$15%

Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo26c entry
+$34650%

Will Junts win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$49%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes57c entry
+$2617%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes21c entry
+$84175%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldYes0c entry
-$2-40%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes87c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 25, 2026MergedYes8c entry
+$459935%

Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$22285%

Will Miroslav Sabol win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Lenka Kovačevičová win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Greens win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 26?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes78c entry
-$6-13%

Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldYes64c entry
+$412%

Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 4%?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$1334%

Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$2524%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 25?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Iran leadership change by October 31?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldYes84c entry
+$286%

Iran leadership change by November 30?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldYes20c entry
+$54%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 25?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$614%

Will Podemos win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$27156%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$23%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$31128%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldYes1c entry
+$146%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes61c entry
+$064%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes13c entry
+$0669%

Will Fabian Ruiz finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$16%

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedYes94c entry
+$247%

Will PSOE receive between 28% and 30% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$345%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo42c entry
+$2137%

Will Bruno Retailleau win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Gabriel Attal win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldYes45c entry
+$2989%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes53c entry
-$129-14%

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo0c entry
+$2,11424841%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes32c entry
+$69%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$1313%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes46c entry
+$22328%

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes73c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$213%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$17%

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes61c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$111%

Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$1328%

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes4c entry
-$2-31%

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$13%

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldNo26c entry
+$794%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo70c entry
+$542%

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be less than or equal to 1.2%?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $19.5M?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$15%

Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes16c entry
+$16%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes47c entry
+$65%

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes37c entry
-$26-70%

Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$336999%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedUnder48c entry
+$05%

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Vox win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo46c entry
+$11117%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes58c entry
+$10%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes28c entry
+$1,018179%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes81c entry
+$373%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$01%

Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$12%

Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$1235%

Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 18m?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$13%

Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$27155%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes48c entry
-$1-2%

Will Podemos win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo45c entry
+$4122%

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo23c entry
+$2337%

Will Vox win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldNo33c entry
-$1-12%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldNo79c entry
+$2017%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$184%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo43c entry
+$16131%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo61c entry
+$1165%

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 236.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedUnder49c entry
+$02%

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo21c entry
+$1376%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Borussia Dortmund finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$05%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$0-4%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Club Brugge finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Real Betis finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Fenerbahçe finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$046%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo71c entry
+$041%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$09%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes16c entry
+$0537%

Will Sporting CP finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo57c entry
+$075%

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$139%

Will Aston Villa finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes32c entry
+$42%

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$033%

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$06%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo41c entry
+$1142%

Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo72c entry
+$139%

Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$23%

Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo54c entry
+$285%

Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$30%

Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$20%

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo48c entry
+$5851420%

Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$7131%

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes42c entry
+$4068%

Will Gremio win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$36%

Will Independiente win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$010%

Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo70c entry
+$1843%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes28c entry
+$279%

Will LDU Quito win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will The Duskbloods win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Corinthians win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes51c entry
+$416%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo57c entry
+$4775%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$01%

Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes89c entry
+$112%

Will Internacional win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Nacional win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$22%

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$828%

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$5072%

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes58c entry
-$4-13%

Will Student List – Students Win win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$29%

Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes8c entry
-$0-71%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes55c entry
+$31347%

Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$16%

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo70c entry
+$1942%

Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $600B and $700B at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes60c entry
+$224%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$58033%

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo55c entry
+$1780%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes28c entry
+$29260%

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$393074%

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes79c entry
+$94%

Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 235.5

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedUnder47c entry
+$627%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes19c entry
+$38426%

Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes77c entry
-$0-14%

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$3510%

Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$86%

Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes46c entry
+$53%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes14c entry
+$971%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes3c entry
-$2-62%

Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $700B and $800B at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$404%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes22c entry
+$131393%

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$5458%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes59c entry
+$21%

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$6-4%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes6c entry
-$3-75%

Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$25%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$213%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 133 and 135 million views on day 6?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$7-6%

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$128%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$2838%

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes58c entry
-$32-14%

Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$48%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo3c entry
+$1112767%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$1-1%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$86%

Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$2215%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes74c entry
+$155%

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$818%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes54c entry
+$4616%

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes77c entry
+$9528%

Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$244%

Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo9c entry
+$401011%

Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$54%

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$65%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$423%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo65c entry
+$2254%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$15%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$192757%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$2572%

Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$3315%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-1%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo20c entry
+$10391%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes59c entry
+$1125%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$130%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo62c entry
+$061%

Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$212%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$08%

Will PSOE win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$019%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-1%

Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo76c entry
+$032%

Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$15%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo8c entry
+$361150%

Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$1139%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-2%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$38%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes16c entry
+$371129%

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo55c entry
+$4981%

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo43c entry
+$63132%

Will LYON win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$150%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$4-8%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$717%

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes16c entry
+$42525%

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$1697%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo70c entry
+$343%

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldNo9c entry
-$4-89%

Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo47c entry
+$1113%

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$48%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo21c entry
+$30376%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$37162%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 25?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$099%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo14c entry
+$16593%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$29%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo76c entry
+$431%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$211%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes18c entry
+$6173%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$712%

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$23%

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo68c entry
+$647%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 25?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$105%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$018%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo46c entry
+$1117%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$112%

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes28c entry
+$180%

Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$314%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$02400%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$44949%

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo0c entry
+$39949900%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes60c entry
-$4-16%

Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-3%

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$213%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo33c entry
+$3205%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$3-15%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$30%

Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$825%

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 10, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 3, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 11, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes11c entry
+$2335%

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 9, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 24?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$1430%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 129 and 131 million views on day 6?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes86c entry
+$00%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes3c entry
+$03254%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo4c entry
+$12363%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$05%

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo68c entry
+$2547%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$0122%

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldYes2c entry
-$1-58%

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 23?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$010%

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedYes73c entry
-$0-32%

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 23, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$21%

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$20%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$53%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes75c entry
+$3414%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$42%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$1314%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes58c entry
+$10922%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo24c entry
+$1,540321%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-67%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes2c entry
-$1-84%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-40%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-70%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-56%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-50%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-67%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-67%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-67%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes2c entry
-$1-84%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$0-57%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes18c entry
+$115%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes28c entry
+$12%

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes13c entry
+$270688%

Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes8c entry
+$1,2731771%

Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes21c entry
+$214378%

Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes12c entry
+$212764%

Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes19c entry
+$738418%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes16c entry
-$8-96%

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$18938%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes72c entry
-$84-27%

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$6515%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes75c entry
+$31%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes61c entry
-$4-18%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes32c entry
+$755%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes1c entry
+$107043%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$321%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes58c entry
-$1-1%

Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo52c entry
+$2994%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 115 and 117 million views on day 4?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes66c entry
-$16-24%

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes85c entry
+$13,612887%

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes13c entry
+$14,7666319%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo13c entry
+$1669%

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$114%

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo19c entry
+$6416%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo54c entry
+$284%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$1669%

Will Democrats win fewer than 2 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes58c entry
+$718%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$18%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$14%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 113 and 115 million views on day 4?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes25c entry
+$1699%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$317%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Danaher (DHR) Q3 non-GAAP core revenue growth 4.5% to 6%?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo48c entry
+$9108%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$1-6%

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$122%

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes84c entry
+$35%

Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$1033%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes30c entry
+$2780%

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes52c entry
+$1778%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$3-4%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes8c entry
+$01149%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$34%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo52c entry
+$992%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes67c entry
+$051%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes1c entry
+$06904%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Democrats win 5 or more House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$07%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo62c entry
+$261%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$119%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 20?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$030%

Will Lukhona Mnguni be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will Kenny Kunene be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$2-16%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$020%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C or below on October 20?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes28c entry
+$177%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$011%

Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in September?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$011%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C or below on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will UK annual inflation be 2.7% or less in September?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo64c entry
+$756%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$637139%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes96c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 117 and 119 million views on day 4?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 180 and 190 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 190 and 200 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 170 and 180 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 113 million views on day 4?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$7018%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldYes6c entry
+$050%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 22?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$1225%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 21?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will "expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$319%

Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$019%

Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$018%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 20?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$17%

Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo67c entry
+$2348%

Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$17%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$17%

Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$2213%

Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$159%

Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 21, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$218%

Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$46%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 20?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$015%

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$2521%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes56c entry
-$2-11%

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$316%

Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo76c entry
+$1431%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$02%

Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$317%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo52c entry
+$091%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo67c entry
+$048%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo28c entry
+$134257%

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo71c entry
+$5441%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo68c entry
+$047%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes56c entry
-$5-11%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo0c entry
+$4049900%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes31c entry
+$258218%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-2%

Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Trump endorse New Hope in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo72c entry
+$138%

Will Trump endorse Noam in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$353%

Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 1.5% to 2.5%?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo74c entry
+$035%

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo82c entry
+$021%

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$40%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$511%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$11%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$39%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$2-4%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-1%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$04%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo38c entry
+$3162%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes52c entry
+$15%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$340%

Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$46%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo16c entry
+$17538%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$018%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes58c entry
-$2-13%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$033%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$561264%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldYes17c entry
-$10-92%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldYes17c entry
-$3-97%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will lukxo have the highest ACS at VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$18%

Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Trudy peak at Category 4?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo47c entry
+$2113%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-1%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes71c entry
+$531154%

Will Mohamed Al Amin Bah win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Mama Kandeh win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Darker have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Sayonara have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Jamppi have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 600,000 and 675,000?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 750,000 and 825,000?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$29%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$428%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$0-4%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Chronicle have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will erde have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will tkzin have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 19?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Derke have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo80c entry
+$2025%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 19?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes27c entry
+$2783%

Will Rasmus Andersson win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$224%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes64c entry
-$17-22%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo63c entry
+$059%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$013%

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$4-15%

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$531%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes66c entry
+$34%

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo41c entry
+$12144%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo45c entry
+$0124%

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$316%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$6922%

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$20%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes67c entry
-$0-25%

Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$026%

Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$023%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$219%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes5c entry
+$101900%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo82c entry
+$023%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$219%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$029%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$028%

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo60c entry
+$066%

Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo56c entry
+$31196%

Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes73c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo65c entry
+$055%

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$017%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$310%

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$21%

Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo71c entry
+$140%

Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$839%

Will Alexa Loo win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$1271%

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo60c entry
+$064%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo52c entry
+$291%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldYes0c entry
-$1-36%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$018%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will BetBoom Win the Thunderpick World Championship 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$628%

Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

Resolved Oct 18, 2026MergedNo51c entry
+$296%

Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$77%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 10%-15%?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo63c entry
+$658%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$3-6%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes3c entry
+$471861%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 19?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo60c entry
+$167%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$05%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes70c entry
-$2-28%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on October 19?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will CJ Carr win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$214%

Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$037%

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$19546%

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 19?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$014%

Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$64117%

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$2511%

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$129%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo9c entry
+$551011%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes7c entry
+$6580%

Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in October?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$37%

Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo45c entry
+$1123%

Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$010%

Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 19?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$0-9%

Will Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Yoane Wissa (Newcastle) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$238%

Will Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Benjamin Šeško (Man Utd) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$14%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes93c entry
-$1-1%

Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$016%

Will Cole Palmer (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$43%

Will Antoine Semenyo (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$11%

Will Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$14244%

Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$14%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$15%

Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$15%

Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$530%

Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$2-10%

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$50%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$922%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo83c entry
+$020%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo3c entry
+$973233%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$746%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$4-15%

Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo2c entry
+$874445%

Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$1350%

Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$5012%

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes60c entry
+$00%

Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$20%

Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo80c entry
+$2825%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$0-5%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes2c entry
+$05448%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes27c entry
+$083%

Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$824%

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes60c entry
-$7-17%

Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes20c entry
+$2197%

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes25c entry
+$898%

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or below on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo57c entry
+$067%

Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 18?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-1%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 18?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes5c entry
+$01841%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$411%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo78c entry
+$028%

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in September?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$014%

Will Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$010%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes76c entry
+$23%

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$318%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$726%

Will Cairn win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes56c entry
-$5-11%

Will Silent Hill: Townfall win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes18c entry
+$3182%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldYes6c entry
-$0-97%

Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo72c entry
+$139%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-1%

Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$28%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$128%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$114%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$42757%

Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes64c entry
+$12753%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo80c entry
+$025%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedYes85c entry
+$018%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$78622%

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$21%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 18?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$40231%

Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$114%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?

Resolved Oct 17, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$619%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$98%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo7c entry
+$1021395%

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes5c entry
+$0874%

Will DaviH have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$126%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes87c entry
-$0-44%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will FURIA advance from the Worlds 2026 Play-In?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes3c entry
+$03232%

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo67c entry
+$6749%

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo31c entry
+$142222%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$01%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$1272%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo65c entry
+$053%

Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by 4%-7%?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$21%

Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo42c entry
+$2138%

Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes30c entry
+$10880%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 10%-15%?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on October 17?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 17?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes0c entry
+$020399%

Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo38c entry
+$2164%

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes11c entry
+$0819%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$95%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo53c entry
+$9989%

Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo66c entry
+$350%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes14c entry
+$36264%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$21-10%

Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$644%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo57c entry
+$175%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes1c entry
+$1712400%

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes66c entry
+$8439%

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes87c entry
+$52%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 17?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$32%

Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$69%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes77c entry
+$1230%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedYes0c entry
+$5049900%

Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$14%

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$010%

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$05%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on October 16?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo67c entry
+$148%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?

Resolved Oct 16, 2026MergedNo34c entry
+$29192%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 15?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$75%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes56c entry
+$1777%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$015%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$663%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$5642%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$09%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$2115%

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$710%

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes27c entry
+$201356%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-2%

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$4394%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo43c entry
+$11133%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes57c entry
-$14-13%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo40c entry
+$1148%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$22%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes68c entry
-$1-1%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$1231%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo67c entry
+$148%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo1c entry
+$479579%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$29%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes27c entry
+$45187%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$1320%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$011%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$516%

Will Cloud9 win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$416%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldYes0c entry
-$1-33%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldYes0c entry
+$121%

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$112%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$1,05045%

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$213%

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$210%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 35% or more?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$04%

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes19c entry
+$0426%

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$223%

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$1-5%

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-1%

Will HANJIN BRION win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$4413%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$04%

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$18%

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes14c entry
+$1,524589%

Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo74c entry
+$835%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 5%-10%?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$13%

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes83c entry
+$11%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 15?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$647%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 15?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 15?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 15?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 15?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$012%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 15?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$137%

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 42 and 43 million views on day 4?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$05%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo2c entry
+$204445%

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 4?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes35c entry
+$042%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-2%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$616%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$4-9%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo66c entry
+$352%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 16?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Madhavee Inamdar win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on October 16?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$012%

Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$23%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$720%

StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$16-4%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 16?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$423%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 15?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-2%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$037%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo64c entry
+$1257%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will RB Leipzig finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Manchester United finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will VfB Stuttgart finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Roma finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$716%

Will Porto finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Inter Milan finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Villarreal finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Atlético Madrid finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Napoli finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Lens finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Como finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will PSV Eindhoven finish first in UCL league phase?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$59%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$019%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$130%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$013%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$025%

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$639%

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$2-7%

Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 45m?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Martinique win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes56c entry
-$6-11%

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$119%

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes60c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or higher on October 14?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$24%

Will NEC win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will OFI win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Olympiacos win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will Lillestrom win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Torreense win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Ferencvaros win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Dinamo Zagreb win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will AZ win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Omonia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Ararat-Armenia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Sparta Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Levski Sofia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$39%

Will Celtic win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Lyon win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$12%

Will Anderlecht win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Red Bull Salzburg win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Besiktas win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$15%

Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$414%

Will Sturm Graz win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Vicent Abril (Valencia) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will David Soria (Getafe) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$10%

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes83c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$12-9%

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$2920%

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$2019%

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$029%

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedNo71c entry
+$042%

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-2%

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 14, 2026MergedYes23c entry
+$23335%

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$05%

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$26%

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$15%

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$614%

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$58%

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes12c entry
+$10317%

Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo61c entry
+$163%

Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo76c entry
+$36405%

Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$011%

Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will SpaceXAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$06%

Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$8463%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$013%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$011%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo60c entry
+$067%

Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$1917%

Will Lawrie Hooper be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$019%

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$16%

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 15?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 15?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on October 15?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$015%

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$8519%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldYes2c entry
+$972513%

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldYes78c entry
-$84-83%

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$387%

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes59c entry
+$42%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes57c entry
-$8-6%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo0c entry
+$1549900%

Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$140177%

Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$388%

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$52%

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$09%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo45c entry
+$0119%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$48%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo67c entry
+$1250%

Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$428%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$1011%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes32c entry
+$456%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldYes2c entry
-$0-72%

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes26c entry
+$280221%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$2049%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$5-8%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$11-15%

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$018%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes76c entry
+$5412%

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$256%

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldYes8c entry
-$1-2%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$24%

Will Alibaba be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Édouard Philippe win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo45c entry
+$12123%

Will Z.ai be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 12%-15%?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$16%

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes17c entry
+$0191%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$337%

Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes5c entry
+$191735%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$023%

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$0-9%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes20c entry
+$0145%

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo41c entry
+$30146%

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes56c entry
-$39-10%

Will South Dakota be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$03%

Will Michigan be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$37%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 250 and 260 million views on week 2?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$15%

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes90c entry
+$012%

Will MrBeast's next video get at least 310 million views on week 2?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 15?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes77c entry
+$530%

Will Idaho be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$06%

Will MrBeast's next video get between 300 and 310 million views on week 2?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$03%

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$111%

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo25c entry
+$0303%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$1721%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes52c entry
-$4-3%

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$07%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$06%

Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 29, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$21%

Will Anthropic have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-1%

Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$01%

Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$1-6%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes57c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$016%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$22%

Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo14c entry
+$98631%

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$128%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes60c entry
-$1-17%

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo20c entry
+$40398%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$1327%

Will Mile Svilar (Roma) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A season?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$1034%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-1%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$30758%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes65c entry
+$132%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes26c entry
+$094%

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes81c entry
-$0-38%

Will Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$3715%

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 14?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$29%

Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will "Stop The Wedding! - Ashe" be the #1 song this week?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Don't Chart (from GTAVI: The Album) - Cardi B, Grand Theft Auto VI" be the #1 song this week?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$24%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 13, 2026MergedYes65c entry
-$9-18%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes99c entry
+$11%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$4-6%

Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 7%?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$111%

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 12, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo81c entry
+$024%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes8c entry
+$01134%

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes26c entry
+$094%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 560,000 and 600,000?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 18, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 19, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes23c entry
+$22119%

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo97c entry
+$13%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-2%

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes32c entry
+$757%

Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes33c entry
+$9653%

Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes64c entry
-$81-22%

Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Gemini Argon be released on October 20, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$12%

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo89c entry
+$012%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 22, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes61c entry
-$7-18%

Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes26c entry
+$1995%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 28, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 14, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$00%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 18, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 21, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 20, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 23, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Mauritania win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group F?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$04%

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo86c entry
+$016%

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 12, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 31, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$03%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$04%

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 18, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 26, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo92c entry
+$08%

Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$2886%

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$11-16%

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes33c entry
+$2050%

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 15, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 26, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$11%

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 24, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$15%

Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo82c entry
+$021%

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 69%+?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 13?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$046%

Will USD be between 2.4M and 2.5M Iranian rials on October 31?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$210%

Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 18 million views this week?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 15 and 18 million views this week?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo1c entry
+$58991%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo0c entry
+$5099900%

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 14?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$5-9%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$512%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldYes99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$430%

Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Union Centriste hold 68 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo22c entry
+$1364%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$02%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026SoldYes99c entry
+$01%

Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-2%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes57c entry
-$1-2%

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$310%

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo20c entry
+$4412%

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$3-16%

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-2%

Will Anthropic have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Xiaomi have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes63c entry
-$11-21%

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-0%

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$37%

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$01%

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$717%

Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$012%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 25%-30%?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$06%

Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$033%

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo85c entry
+$017%

Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$019%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo98c entry
+$02%

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$0-8%

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 13?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo100c entry
+$00%

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$05%

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$017%

Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$31%

Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$31%

Will LGD Gaming win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$06%

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 12?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$1638%

Will JD Gaming win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$34%

Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026?

Resolved Oct 12, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-1%