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WTSA

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 90 days, WTSA closed 42 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +90% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, WTSA has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #55 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#55

Sirtio score

80.8

Avg edge (per position)

+90%

Positions (90d)

42

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 42 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 63% of WTSA's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+90%

across 42 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+6.65

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

80.8

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$252,431 on "Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?" (a 144% return). The worst was a -$250,267 loss on "Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?

Yes

+$252,431144%

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?

Yes

+$171,07093%

Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

+$148,31598%

Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?

No

+$121,11894%

Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?

Yes

+$120,39180%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?

Yes

-$250,267-100%

SC Braga vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5

Over

-$52,474-100%

Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?

Yes

-$30,547-100%

Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5

Over

-$22,614-100%

Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)

EC Vitória

-$4,199-100%

All Positions (Since Tracked Aug 14, 2026)

Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 6, 2026Force-closedOver37c entry
-$22,614-100%

Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 6, 2026Force-closedEC Vitória21c entry
-$4,199-100%

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-05?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026RedeemedYes49c entry
+$47,150105%

Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026Force-closedYes45c entry
-$30,547-100%

SC Braga vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedOver44c entry
-$52,474-100%

Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedIndependiente del Valle38c entry
+$26,020162%

Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-09-01?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026RedeemedYes48c entry
+$49,371107%

Will CD Unión La Calera win on 2026-08-31?

Resolved Sep 1, 2026RedeemedNo60c entry
+$17,00267%

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5

Resolved Aug 31, 2026RedeemedUnder44c entry
+$19,177128%

IK Sirius vs. Malmo FF: O/U 3.5

Resolved Aug 31, 2026RedeemedUnder58c entry
+$33,33773%

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026Force-closedYes55c entry
-$250,267-100%

Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-23?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026RedeemedNo62c entry
+$16,48562%

Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Aug 23, 2026RedeemedOver39c entry
+$45,872157%

Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 23, 2026RedeemedVancouver Whitecaps FC51c entry
+$148,31598%

Los Angeles FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5

Resolved Aug 23, 2026RedeemedUnder58c entry
+$21,90273%

Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 23, 2026RedeemedOver61c entry
+$1,29964%

Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 23, 2026RedeemedOver50c entry
+$26,485101%

Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedYes44c entry
+$117,562129%

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedNo60c entry
+$59,18468%

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedYes52c entry
+$171,07093%

Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedVancouver Whitecaps FC29c entry
+$38,173246%

Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedYes33c entry
+$81,649206%

Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedCA Mineiro30c entry
+$57,860230%

Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-16?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedNo65c entry
+$7,99354%

Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedYes56c entry
+$120,39180%

Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedPortland Timbers61c entry
+$4,25564%

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026RedeemedYes41c entry
+$252,431144%

Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 16, 2026RedeemedUnder42c entry
+$5,830139%

Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5

Resolved Aug 16, 2026RedeemedUnder47c entry
+$30,392114%

Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedNo52c entry
+$121,11894%

Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedDeportivo Toluca FC51c entry
+$18,45194%

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-12?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedYes59c entry
+$43,85368%

Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedPortland Timbers36c entry
+$17,170179%

CA Platense vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 1.5

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedOver56c entry
+$6,91479%

Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-13?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedYes57c entry
+$22,85476%

Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5

Resolved Aug 15, 2026RedeemedOver66c entry
+$17,12552%

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-11?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026RedeemedNo41c entry
+$56,401146%

Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026RedeemedNo30c entry
+$28,486236%

Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 12, 2026RedeemedVancouver Whitecaps FC55c entry
+$19,22581%

Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-11?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026RedeemedNo33c entry
+$67,642206%

Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 12, 2026RedeemedAtlas FC55c entry
+$8,66882%

Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-11?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026RedeemedNo47c entry
+$62,395111%