Tier
Break even
Over the last 90 days, 0xffbbf8...ae36e9 closed 2 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +13% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, 0xffbbf8...ae36e9 performs about in line with the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #50 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#50
Sirtio score
56.6
Avg edge (per position)
+13%
Positions (90d)
2
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+13%
across 2 positions
Z-score
+0.80
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
56.6
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$36 on "Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?" (a 14% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report. That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
No
No losing positions in this window.
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Resolved Jun 24, 2026
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Resolved May 20, 2026