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VPenguin

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 30 days, VPenguin closed 36 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +70% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, VPenguin has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #53 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#53

Sirtio score

81.3

Avg edge (per position)

+70%

Positions (30d)

36

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 36 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 87% of VPenguin's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+70%

across 36 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.60

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

81.3

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$86,848 on "LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner" (a 343% return). The worst was a -$279,340 loss on "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner". That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.

Top 5 Wins (Last 30 Days)

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Top Esports

+$86,848343%

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

Nets

+$48,082150%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A

OG

+$30,848212%

Hawks vs. Pelicans

Pelicans

+$23,173186%

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Alexander Volkanovski

+$20,092113%

Top 5 Losses (Last 30 Days)

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Team Falcons

-$279,340-100%

Grizzlies vs. Kings

Kings

-$5,113-27%

US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Antonia Ruzic

Antonia Ruzic

-$3,378-100%

Spread: Spurs (-16.5)

Spurs

-$251-2%

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

Movistar KOI

-$83-6%

All Positions (Since Tracked Oct 24, 2026)

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Nov 1, 2026RedeemedTeam Spirit47c entry
+$8,898111%

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?

Resolved Nov 1, 2026SoldNo35c entry
-$69-1%

Hawks vs. Pelicans

Resolved Nov 1, 2026RedeemedPelicans35c entry
+$23,173186%

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldTop Esports23c entry
+$86,848343%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Resolved Oct 29, 2026RedeemedTeam Yandex47c entry
+$10,36558%

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldAurora Gaming43c entry
+$452%

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldFaZe56c entry
+$14%

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldVitality42c entry
+$1682%

Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5

Resolved Oct 29, 2026RedeemedUnder51c entry
+$4,76096%

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldJazz40c entry
+$15,209148%

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 29, 2026Force-closedTeam Falcons54c entry
-$279,340-100%

Spread: Spurs (-16.5)

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldSpurs42c entry
-$251-2%

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldGamerLegion50c entry
+$9044%

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

Resolved Oct 28, 2026RedeemedNets40c entry
+$48,082150%

Grizzlies vs. Kings

Resolved Oct 26, 2026RedeemedKings40c entry
-$5,113-27%

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldMovistar KOI30c entry
-$83-6%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldAstra Invicta28c entry
+$811%

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldAurora Gaming57c entry
+$19,15575%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldOG32c entry
+$30,848212%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldTeam Liquid48c entry
-$18-6%

LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldTeam Liquid23c entry
+$239%

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldT156c entry
+$3320%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldGen.G57c entry
+$10,49475%

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldInvictus Gaming65c entry
+$3,45554%

US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Antonia Ruzic

Resolved Oct 24, 2026Force-closedAntonia Ruzic34c entry
-$3,378-100%

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldAlexander Volkanovski47c entry
+$20,092113%

Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldLEGION26c entry
+$1,676284%

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldNo39c entry
+$15,883156%

Dota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldGamerLegion46c entry
+$14,567118%

NC State vs. Stanford

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldStanford72c entry
+$2,12139%

Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldEna Shibahara13c entry
+$412206%

Spread: Magic (-1.5)

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldTimberwolves49c entry
+$5,955104%

Bulls vs. Bucks

Resolved Oct 23, 2026SoldBulls34c entry
+$5,107194%