Leaderboard rank
#55
Over the last 90 days, gaven-willwin closed 15 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of -4% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, gaven-willwin performs statistically in line with the average tracked trader and currently ranks #55 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Avg edge (per position)
-4%
Positions (90d)
15
46.6
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
This trader's average return across 15 resolved positions was -4%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.
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