Tier
Good
Over the last 30 days, 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 closed 169 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +11% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #181 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#181
Sirtio score
60.0
Avg edge (per position)
+11%
Positions (30d)
169
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 169 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 60% of 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+11%
across 169 positions
Z-score
+1.39
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
60.0
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$17,966 on "Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?" (a 92% return). The worst was a -$32,725 loss on "Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?".
This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.