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Sisyphus-

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 30 days, Sisyphus- closed 50 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +31% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Sisyphus- has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #65 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#65

Sirtio score

75.8

Avg edge (per position)

+31%

Positions (30d)

50

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 50 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 96% of Sisyphus-'s real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+31%

across 50 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+3.56

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

75.8

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$16,756 on "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner" (a 75% return). The worst was a -$523 loss on "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner".

Top 5 Wins (Last 30 Days)

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

PARIVISION

+$16,75675%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner

PARIVISION

+$15,34358%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

OG

+$14,474190%

Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

GamerLegion

+$12,063117%

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B

LEGION

+$11,86093%

Top 5 Losses (Last 30 Days)

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

GamerLegion

-$523-27%

Dota 2: avice Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 Winner

avice Team

-$446-100%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner

Astra Invicta

-$125-63%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

Team Spirit

-$87-5%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

1win

-$81-41%

All Positions (Since Tracked Oct 13, 2026)

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 31, 2026SoldGamerLegion27c entry
-$523-27%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldTeam Liquid33c entry
-$12-12%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldOG37c entry
+$44%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 30, 2026SoldTeam Liquid56c entry
+$114%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 30, 2026RedeemedPARIVISION63c entry
+$15,34358%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 29, 2026RedeemedPARIVISION57c entry
+$16,75675%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldLEGION23c entry
+$219%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldLEGION26c entry
+$62%

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldLEGION32c entry
-$25-25%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Resolved Oct 28, 2026RedeemedOG34c entry
+$14,474190%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldAstra Invicta19c entry
+$3737%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldAstra Invicta22c entry
+$1414%

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B

Resolved Oct 28, 2026RedeemedLEGION52c entry
+$11,86093%

Dota 2: oveA vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 27, 2026RedeemedZero Tenacity84c entry
+$32019%

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 26, 2026SoldLEGION50c entry
-$4-2%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

Resolved Oct 26, 2026SoldTeam Spirit52c entry
-$87-5%

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 26, 2026Force-closedSouth America Rejects72c entry
+$81038%

Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 26, 2026RedeemedGamerLegion46c entry
+$12,063117%

Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026Force-closedInterActive Philippines10c entry
+$9900%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026RedeemedPARIVISION83c entry
+$4,62821%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026RedeemedPARIVISION85c entry
+$3,84317%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026Sold1win28c entry
-$81-41%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026RedeemedTeam Yandex80c entry
+$6,15525%

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldInner Circle68c entry
+$3618%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026RedeemedOG57c entry
+$9,00975%

Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

Resolved Oct 24, 2026RedeemedLEGION25c entry
+$9,394302%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldTeam Yandex71c entry
+$2214%

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 24, 2026SoldNemiga Gaming48c entry
+$2512%

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A

Resolved Oct 23, 2026RedeemedHULIGANI75c entry
+$4,81234%

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 23, 2026RedeemedInner Circle43c entry
+$8,857132%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Resolved Oct 22, 2026Force-closedTeam Yandex64c entry
+$4,02657%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 22, 2026SoldAstra Invicta22c entry
-$125-63%

Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Resolved Oct 21, 2026SoldZero Tenacity31c entry
-$6-3%

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 21, 2026RedeemedInner Circle70c entry
+$3,59342%

Dota 2: avice Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 20, 2026Force-closedavice Team45c entry
-$446-100%

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs TheBot$ - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 19, 2026RedeemedTeam Synapse66c entry
+$73152%

Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Oct 18, 2026SoldGorgc Team58c entry
+$52%

Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 18, 2026RedeemedStariy bog Team67c entry
+$1,42950%

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Resolved Oct 17, 2026RedeemedZero Tenacity53c entry
+$65289%

Dota 2: salamit vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Resolved Oct 17, 2026RedeemedYellow Submarine69c entry
+$50944%

Dota 2: Stray Team vs Gorgc Team - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldStray Team44c entry
+$10754%

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldTeam Synapse45c entry
+$189%

Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs PuckChamp (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldPuckChamp16c entry
-$2-1%

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Novus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 16, 2026RedeemedYakult Brothers82c entry
+$1,03722%

Dota 2: Stariy bog Team vs Korb3n Team - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 15, 2026RedeemedKorb3n Team60c entry
+$4,05367%

Dota 2: OG vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 15, 2026RedeemedOG83c entry
+$64121%

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldDawn Bulls59c entry
+$42%

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Kalmychata - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldKalmychata60c entry
+$168%

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 14, 2026RedeemedYellow Submarine76c entry
+$1,64131%

Dota 2: CyberHero vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 14, 2026SoldKalmychata46c entry
-$52-26%

Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 12, 2026RedeemedTeam Lynx86c entry
+$17316%