Leaderboard rank
#2
Over the last 90 days, danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 closed 203 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +96% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 ranks among the most skilled Polymarket traders we track and currently sits at rank #2 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Avg edge (per position)
+96%
Positions (90d)
203
99.8
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
This trader's average return across 203 resolved positions was +96%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly. It's first blended toward the average trader's return, in proportion to how much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven). A large, consistent sample lets the score move further from 50 in either direction.
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensik
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur
Cameron Norrie
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Switzerland
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina
Elina Svitolina
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Over
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov
Hayato Matsuoka
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajal
Mark Lajal
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Yes
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Up
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 15, 2026
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 15, 2026
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov
Resolved Aug 15, 2026
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakis
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworth
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Anna Blinkova
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaeva
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Vallejo
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stage
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Bellucci
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajal
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinko
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavsky
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
National Bank Open: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatek
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mark Lajal vs Dalibor Svrcina
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FaZe (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs B8 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Andres Martin
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Resolved Aug 3, 2026
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 3, 2026
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzetti
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskaya
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensik
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Resolved Jul 29, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved Jul 29, 2026
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
Resolved Jul 28, 2026
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 28, 2026
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Resolved Jul 27, 2026
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs
Resolved Jul 27, 2026
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders
Resolved Jul 25, 2026
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Resolved Jul 25, 2026
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
Resolved Jul 25, 2026
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 25, 2026
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 25, 2026
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Resolved Jul 24, 2026
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Resolved Jul 19, 2026
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
Resolved Jul 16, 2026
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Resolved Jul 15, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Resolved Jul 15, 2026
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
Resolved Jul 15, 2026
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
Resolved Jul 15, 2026
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
Resolved Jul 15, 2026
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
Resolved Jul 15, 2026
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Resolved Jul 14, 2026
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Resolved Jul 14, 2026
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Resolved Jul 14, 2026
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Resolved Jul 10, 2026
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Resolved Jul 7, 2026
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Resolved Jul 7, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Resolved Jul 7, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Resolved Jul 7, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Resolved Jul 7, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Resolved Jul 7, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Jul 7, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Resolved Jul 7, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Resolved Jul 3, 2026
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Resolved Jul 3, 2026
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5
Resolved Jul 1, 2026
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
Resolved Jun 26, 2026
Spread: France (-1.5)
Resolved Jun 26, 2026