Tier
Good
Over the last 30 days, dauntlesswitness closed 20 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +77% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, dauntlesswitness shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #73 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#73
Sirtio score
72.9
Avg edge (per position)
+77%
Positions (30d)
20
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 20 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 45% of dauntlesswitness's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+77%
across 20 positions
Z-score
+4.33
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
72.9
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
No positions resolved in the last 30 days for this wallet.