--> Back to leaderboard

devilbanker

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, devilbanker closed 32 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +91% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, devilbanker shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #72 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#72

Sirtio score

69.0

Avg edge (per position)

+91%

Positions (90d)

32

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 32 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 90% of devilbanker's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+91%

across 32 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.98

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

69.0

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$33,418 on "Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Eduardo Ribeiro" (a 187% return). The worst was a -$33,705 loss on "Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Eduardo Ribeiro

Eduardo Ribeiro

+$33,418187%

US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea

Arthur Gea

+$30,995177%

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen

Frances Tiafoe

+$29,981164%

Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Sara Sorribes Tormo

+$26,880150%

US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien

Learner Tien

+$20,297140%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays

-$33,705-100%

Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

-$30,000-100%

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels

New York Yankees

-$15,960-100%

Warriors vs. Bucks

Warriors

-$10,696-100%

Purdue vs. Houston

Purdue

-$3,249-100%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 1, 2026)

East Carolina vs. Old Dominion

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldEast Carolina48c entry
+$5,525107%

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldTampa Bay Rays44c entry
+$6,168127%

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldMilwaukee Brewers51c entry
+$4,31196%

Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldDelaware47c entry
+$6,968113%

San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldSt. Louis Cardinals16c entry
+$96930%

Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldDiego Dedura-Palomero53c entry
+$6,14687%

Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldElsa Jacquemot57c entry
+$4,60174%

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Resolved Sep 9, 2026Force-closedYes51c entry
+$094%

US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldJessica Pegula69c entry
+$6,30345%

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldMilwaukee Brewers57c entry
+$11,28975%

Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe

Resolved Sep 9, 2026Force-closedFrances Tiafoe48c entry
-$30,000-100%

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldMiami Marlins13c entry
-$2,366-47%

Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldSara Sorribes Tormo40c entry
+$26,880150%

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldFrances Tiafoe38c entry
+$29,981164%

Seville: Jaume Munar vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldJaume Munar43c entry
+$8,109132%

San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldNew York Mets31c entry
+$10,761223%

US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldLearner Tien42c entry
+$20,297140%

US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldArthur Gea36c entry
+$30,995177%

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedNew York Yankees46c entry
-$15,960-100%

San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldSan Francisco Giants42c entry
+$13,290139%

Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Eduardo Ribeiro

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedEduardo Ribeiro35c entry
+$33,418187%

Red Sox vs. Phillies

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedRed Sox37c entry
+$0173%

Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldInaki Montes29c entry
+$12,167250%

Warriors vs. Bucks

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedWarriors68c entry
-$10,696-100%

Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Resolved Sep 4, 2026Force-closedTampa Bay Rays54c entry
-$33,705-100%

Manacor: Edas Butvilas vs Luca Potenza

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldLuca Potenza39c entry
+$3,056159%

Como: Max Schoenhaus vs Matej Dodig

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldMatej Dodig34c entry
+$9,275191%

Purdue vs. Houston

Resolved Sep 4, 2026Force-closedPurdue21c entry
-$3,249-100%

US Open ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Flavio Cobolli

Resolved Sep 3, 2026SoldFlavio Cobolli62c entry
+$5,70460%

US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo

Resolved Sep 3, 2026SoldFrancisco Cerundolo37c entry
+$13,963167%

Porto: Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

Resolved Sep 3, 2026SoldMiguel Damas32c entry
+$12,511215%

Manacor: Max Basing vs Joel Schwaerzler

Resolved Sep 1, 2026SoldJoel Schwaerzler51c entry
+$1,79496%

Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies

Resolved Sep 1, 2026SoldBaltimore Orioles54c entry
+$7,62085%

Canadian Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas Mejia

Resolved Aug 1, 2026SoldNicolas Mejia36c entry
+$4,754169%