Over the last 30 days, tikstt closed 15 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +47% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, tikstt shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #108 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#108
Sirtio score
63.6
Avg edge (per position)
+47%
Positions (30d)
15
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 15 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 85% of tikstt's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+47%
across 15 positions
Z-score
+3.46
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
63.6
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.