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Mysaria

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 30 days, Mysaria closed 460 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +7% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Mysaria has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #54 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#54

Sirtio score

81.2

Avg edge (per position)

+7%

Positions (30d)

460

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 460 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 82% of Mysaria's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+7%

across 460 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+6.39

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

81.2

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

All Positions (Last 30 Days)

No positions resolved in the last 30 days for this wallet.