Over the last 30 days, 48binn closed 8 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +33% per position. That's too few resolved trades for Sirtio to say with any confidence how 48binn compares to the rest of the tracked pool -- at least 10 are required before a trader is ranked or placed in a tier.
Rank
Provisional -- needs 10+ resolved positions to rank
Sirtio score
64.1
Avg edge (per position)
+33%
Positions (30d)
8
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 8 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 96% of 48binn's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+33%
across 8 positions
Z-score
+1.74
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
64.1
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.