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VigorishVault

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, VigorishVault closed 8 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +112% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, VigorishVault shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #89 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#89

Sirtio score

65.8

Avg edge (per position)

+112%

Positions (90d)

8

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 8 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 75% of VigorishVault's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+112%

across 8 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.08

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

65.8

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$5,799 on "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5" (a 92% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report.

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

Over

+$5,79992%

Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

Over

+$4,00789%

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs

+$2,804112%

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians

+$2,14061%

Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

Over

+$1,810110%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

No losing positions in this window.

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 3, 2026)

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldChicago Cubs67c entry
+$1,57350%

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldChicago Cubs47c entry
+$2,804112%

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

Resolved Sep 3, 2026SoldOver52c entry
+$5,79992%

Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldColorado Rockies25c entry
+$1,754292%

Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldOver48c entry
+$1,810110%

Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldOver53c entry
+$4,00789%

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldCleveland Guardians62c entry
+$2,14061%

New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldOver53c entry
+$1,77088%