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nigiri99

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, nigiri99 closed 144 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +30% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, nigiri99 shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #84 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#84

Sirtio score

72.4

Avg edge (per position)

+30%

Positions (90d)

144

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 144 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 89% of nigiri99's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+30%

across 144 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.47

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

72.4

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$7,496 on "Panthers vs. Falcons" (a 115% return). The worst was a -$1,425 loss on "Browns vs. Buccaneers".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Panthers vs. Falcons

Panthers

+$7,496115%

Eagles vs. Titans

Eagles

+$3,66037%

Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall

Gardner-Webb

+$2,6781440%

Spread: Patriots (-5.5)

Patriots

+$2,513104%

New Hampshire vs. Sacred Heart

Sacred Heart

+$2,0979%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Browns vs. Buccaneers

Buccaneers

-$1,425-23%

Packers vs. Jets

Packers

-$514-20%

Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants

-$489-19%

Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5

Under

-$152-2%

UConn vs. Miami (OH)

UConn

-$141-1%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 21, 2026)

Albania vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedOver45c entry
+$323122%

Ducks vs. Kings

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedKings52c entry
+$4227%

Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedTexas Southern51c entry
-$25-1%

Eagles vs. Bears

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedEagles49c entry
+$152%

UConn vs. Miami (OH)

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUConn51c entry
-$141-1%

Lightning vs. Panthers

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedPanthers50c entry
-$0-1%

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUnder57c entry
+$375%

1H Spread: Florida (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedOle Miss52c entry
-$0-3%

Boise State vs. Western Michigan

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedWestern Michigan50c entry
-$4-1%

England vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$2403%

Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedGardner-Webb6c entry
+$2,6781440%

Devils vs. Islanders

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedIslanders49c entry
+$102%

Texas vs. Tennessee

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedTexas53c entry
-$100-6%

UCLA vs. Maryland

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedMaryland44c entry
+$48129%

Nashville SC vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedNo44c entry
+$25127%

Georgia Tech vs. Stanford

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedGeorgia Tech58c entry
+$872%

Alabama A&M vs. Florida A&M

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedFlorida A&M51c entry
-$3-1%

Tulsa vs. Arkansas

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedTulsa63c entry
+$1329%

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedSwitzerland50c entry
+$11%

Oklahoma vs. Georgia

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedOklahoma50c entry
+$131%

TCU vs. UCF

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUCF40c entry
+$125148%

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$0-1%

Penguins vs. Sabres

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedSabres52c entry
-$1-3%

Hurricanes vs. Predators

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedPredators51c entry
-$0-1%

Iowa Team Total: O/U 16.5

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUnder52c entry
+$433%

Yale vs. Cornell

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedYale50c entry
-$4-1%

Vanderbilt vs. Auburn

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedVanderbilt51c entry
-$2-1%

Colorado vs. Baylor

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedColorado48c entry
+$134%

Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUnder49c entry
+$62%

New Hampshire vs. Sacred Heart

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedSacred Heart46c entry
+$2,0979%

Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: O/U 56.5

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedOver49c entry
+$10104%

Ball State vs. Kent State

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedKent State51c entry
+$162%

1H Spread: Texas (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedTexas51c entry
-$9-2%

1H Spread: Baylor (-5.5)

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedBaylor53c entry
+$2289%

Texas A&M vs. LSU

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedLSU76c entry
+$19032%

Butler vs. Valparaiso

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedValparaiso50c entry
+$01%

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedPittsburgh Pirates51c entry
+$38576%

South Florida vs. Bowling Green

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedSouth Florida11c entry
+$1,535765%

Troy vs. Utah State

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUtah State58c entry
+$1072%

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedNIP60c entry
+$1867%

Virginia Tech vs. Boston College

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedBoston College16c entry
+$124525%

UNLV vs. Akron

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedAkron18c entry
+$358456%

Texas Team Total: O/U 30.5

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUnder53c entry
+$10489%

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedUnder54c entry
+$541%

Wake Forest vs. Louisville

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedWake Forest19c entry
+$41426%

Maine vs. Elon

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedElon68c entry
+$547%

Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedNatus Vincere48c entry
+$14%

KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedSamsung Lions47c entry
+$115%

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$0-2%

Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
-$7-1%

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedTokyo Yakult Swallows51c entry
-$1-1%

Chiefs vs. Dolphins

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedDolphins51c entry
-$7-1%

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedTampa Bay Rays50c entry
-$0-0%

Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedYomiuri Giants50c entry
-$0-0%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedTampa Bay Rays51c entry
-$11-1%

Falcons vs. Packers

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedFalcons29c entry
+$7245%

Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedSan Francisco Giants62c entry
-$489-19%

Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$01%

Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty: O/U 177.5

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$60%

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedUnder52c entry
-$51-3%

Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedNew York Liberty49c entry
+$1983%

Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$5-1%

Wild vs. Blackhawks

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedWild40c entry
+$11723%

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedNew York Liberty52c entry
-$1-3%

Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedPibbles Corp40c entry
+$124%

Sabres vs. Penguins

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedSabres50c entry
-$3-1%

Seahawks vs. Commanders

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedSeahawks47c entry
+$867%

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedTohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles53c entry
-$1-5%

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5)

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedSeattle Storm49c entry
+$341%

Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedColts48c entry
+$404%

Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedUnder49c entry
+$792%

Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 45.5

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$90%

Ravens vs. Cowboys

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedRavens53c entry
-$17-5%

Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$10%

Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedColts49c entry
+$591%

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedYes52c entry
+$1092%

Colts vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneyline

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedColts51c entry
-$47-2%

Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
-$29-1%

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
-$0-1%

Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedColts50c entry
+$51%

Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$152-2%

Portland Fire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$27-1%

Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSan Diego FC51c entry
-$87-2%

Raiders vs. Chargers

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedRaiders43c entry
+$81217%

Portland Fire vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPortland Fire51c entry
+$1438%

Dolphins vs. 49ers

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedDolphins48c entry
+$30712%

Browns vs. Buccaneers

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedBuccaneers65c entry
-$1,425-23%

Jaguars vs. Broncos

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedJaguars47c entry
+$3128%

Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$1,66012%

Cowboys Team Total: O/U 27.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$29-2%

Spread: 49ers (-13.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedDolphins50c entry
+$20%

Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedCardinals68c entry
+$3246%

Spread: 49ers (-9.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedDolphins48c entry
+$18327%

Spread: Broncos (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedJaguars50c entry
+$51%

Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$200%

New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedNew York Yankees49c entry
+$233%

Jaguars vs. Broncos: 1H O/U 22.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$6-2%

Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedCowboys48c entry
+$353108%

Panthers vs. Falcons

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPanthers27c entry
+$7,496115%

Packers vs. Jets

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPackers63c entry
-$514-20%

Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$16-1%

Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedWashington Mystics50c entry
+$00%

Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedWashington Mystics51c entry
-$0-1%

Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder54c entry
+$785%

Eagles vs. Titans

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedEagles73c entry
+$3,66037%

1H Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedBuccaneers52c entry
+$9547%

Spread: Patriots (-4.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSteelers51c entry
+$5408%

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPhiladelphia Phillies47c entry
+$1,01631%

1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSteelers50c entry
+$01%

Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 40.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$0-1%

Spread: Patriots (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSteelers50c entry
+$7410%

Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSaints50c entry
+$11%

1H Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSaints51c entry
-$0-2%

Steelers vs. Patriots

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSteelers51c entry
+$352%

Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 42.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder52c entry
-$0-3%

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$0-3%

Spread: Eagles (-8.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedTitans51c entry
+$2611%

Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
+$44%

Packers vs. Jets: 1H Moneyline

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPackers51c entry
-$0-1%

Spread: Panthers (-6.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPanthers48c entry
+$319%

Spread: Buccaneers (-20.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedBuccaneers55c entry
+$116%

Spread: 49ers (-17.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedDolphins64c entry
+$1056%

Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$54%

Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 33.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$1-2%

NO vs. BAL: O/U 46.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$17931%

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder58c entry
+$24472%

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$0-1%

Spread: Patriots (-6.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSteelers45c entry
+$68111%

Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedTitans54c entry
+$67084%

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$364166%

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$11837%

MIN vs. CHI: O/U 46.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder49c entry
+$42%

Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedCowboys61c entry
+$11064%

Spread: Patriots (-5.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPatriots49c entry
+$2,513104%

Spread: Vikings (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedVikings51c entry
-$14-1%

Saints vs. Ravens: O/U 45.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder49c entry
+$4119%

Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 36.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder20c entry
+$3400%

1H Spread: Bears (-3.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedVikings51c entry
-$7-2%

Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedAtalanta BC67c entry
+$3849%

Spread: Packers (-2.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPackers51c entry
-$0-1%

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedOlympique de Marseille55c entry
+$18681%

Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$46-1%

Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedOver44c entry
+$4127%

Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSaints51c entry
-$1-1%

Vikings vs. Bears

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedBears66c entry
+$6352%

Bears Team Total: O/U 27.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
+$17129%

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$21%

1H Spread: Ravens (-4.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSaints50c entry
-$0-0%

Dolphins vs. 49ers: O/U 55.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder81c entry
+$123%

Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 62.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder93c entry
+$08%

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSeahawks35c entry
+$74186%

Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedG2 Esports49c entry
+$101104%

Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 58.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder84c entry
+$2419%

Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSan Diego Padres50c entry
+$51%

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder49c entry
+$222%

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder48c entry
+$574%

Spread: Ravens (-7.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSaints50c entry
+$9237%

Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPittsburgh Pirates51c entry
+$78496%

1H Spread: Texans (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedTexans51c entry
+$48%

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder49c entry
+$25715%

1H Spread: 49ers (-7.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedDolphins52c entry
+$3776%

Jaguars Team Total: O/U 20.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder52c entry
-$1-3%

Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedToronto Tempo47c entry
+$782111%

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-15.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSeattle Storm51c entry
-$46-3%

Packers vs. Jets: O/U 42.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder44c entry
+$30127%

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedClub Atlético de Madrid89c entry
+$412%

Spread: BAL (-8.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedNO50c entry
+$5343%

Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 38.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$0-1%

Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 34.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder51c entry
-$3-2%

Spread: Packers (-6.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedPackers51c entry
-$3-1%

Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedLeeds United FC34c entry
+$3194%

1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedSeahawks53c entry
+$3189%

AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedOver34c entry
+$28193%

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder48c entry
+$213108%

Colts vs. Chiefs

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedChiefs71c entry
+$16941%

Packers vs. Jets: O/U 44.5

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$101%

Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes65c entry
+$754%

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedCTBC Flying Oyster Academy23c entry
+$69113%

Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedLas Vegas Aces92c entry
+$139%

AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes67c entry
+$249%