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Villson

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, Villson closed 67 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +44% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Villson shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #68 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#68

Sirtio score

69.6

Avg edge (per position)

+44%

Positions (90d)

67

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 67 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 90% of Villson's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+44%

across 67 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+5.14

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

69.6

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$13,296 on "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner" (a 124% return). The worst was a -$1,260 loss on "LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Team Liquid

+$13,296124%

UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Joshua Van

+$13,09073%

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Team Falcons

+$11,151126%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Team Yandex

+$11,130126%

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Nigma Galaxy

+$9,75695%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Gen.G

-$1,260-32%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Vici Gaming

-$1,232-69%

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Natus Vincere

-$305-3%

Valorant: NRG vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner

NRG

-$65-2%

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Natus Vincere

-$15-1%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 1, 2026)

Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldNo46c entry
+$3,7085%

Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$3841%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldTeam Yandex76c entry
+$1,19531%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldTeam Yandex74c entry
+$78335%

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Resolved Sep 24, 2026MergedNatus Vincere50c entry
-$15-1%

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 24, 2026MergedNatus Vincere52c entry
-$305-3%

Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedWashington Nationals36c entry
+$1,5427%

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedCincinnati Reds38c entry
+$1,7998%

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 22, 2026MergedNatus Vincere47c entry
+$776%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Resolved Sep 21, 2026MergedTeam Yandex38c entry
+$11332%

UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Resolved Sep 20, 2026Force-closedJoshua Van58c entry
+$13,09073%

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

Resolved Sep 20, 2026Force-closedVitality71c entry
+$76541%

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$311%

Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A

Resolved Sep 17, 2026MergedM8049c entry
+$493%

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 17, 2026MergedTop Esports50c entry
+$90%

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldNo40c entry
+$1,3968%

Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Drama eSports (+1.5)

Resolved Sep 15, 2026MergedINOX Division47c entry
+$2216%

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$654%

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldG250c entry
+$8405%

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs 1WIN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedFOKUS49c entry
+$1792%

Counter-Strike: Back to Back vs Galorys (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldGalorys64c entry
+$1545%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Sep 10, 2026Force-closedVici Gaming46c entry
-$1,232-69%

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Sep 10, 2026Force-closedDown47c entry
+$551112%

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedPARIVISION49c entry
+$233%

Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldG271c entry
+$672%

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Without a Roof (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNRG89c entry
+$1,12913%

Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

Resolved Sep 9, 2026RedeemedG272c entry
+$3,34839%

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

Resolved Sep 9, 2026Force-closedOver41c entry
+$6,310145%

Counter-Strike: 9z vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldMIBR42c entry
+$6,457138%

Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

Resolved Sep 9, 2026Soldmagic47c entry
+$7,884111%

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 8, 2026Soldmagic22c entry
+$7,790354%

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Resolved Sep 8, 2026RedeemedNuclear TigeRES54c entry
+$4,59085%

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedSpirit52c entry
+$8207%

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldSpirit63c entry
+$1203%

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedSpirit53c entry
+$601%

Valorant: NRG vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 5, 2026MergedNRG51c entry
-$65-2%

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldGen.G57c entry
-$1,260-32%

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldHOTU55c entry
+$6,14680%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldAnyones Legend82c entry
+$1,25822%

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldDplus KIA77c entry
+$031%

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedVitality41c entry
+$2,70520%

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedLegacy49c entry
+$3003%

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 26, 2026MergedSpirit49c entry
+$683%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldTeam Spirit43c entry
+$1,36216%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedTeam Yandex48c entry
+$1335%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldTeam Yandex44c entry
+$11,130126%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedTeam Spirit48c entry
+$1344%

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldNigma Galaxy51c entry
+$9,75695%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldLGD Gaming47c entry
+$7,934113%

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldTeam Falcons78c entry
+$1,97128%

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam Yandex57c entry
+$4,24775%

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 14, 2026MergedVici Gaming47c entry
+$1465%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam Liquid45c entry
+$13,296124%

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldUnder50c entry
+$250100%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldNigma Galaxy73c entry
+$2,39437%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldIron Wing40c entry
+$8,925150%

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam Liquid60c entry
+$68767%

Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldHULIGANI24c entry
+$7,715316%

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldNigma Galaxy49c entry
+$5,104104%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldTeam Spirit62c entry
+$9,45861%

Game Handicap: BoomBoys (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldOG49c entry
+$3,62144%

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldTeam Falcons42c entry
+$11,151126%

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 13, 2026MergedTeam Falcons46c entry
+$9610%

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Resolved Jul 5, 2026MergedNorway49c entry
+$2753%

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5

Resolved Jul 4, 2026SoldOver27c entry
+$1004%

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Resolved Jul 4, 2026MergedMorocco43c entry
+$1,40016%