Leaderboard rank
#13
Over the last 90 days, AV23IUa closed 27 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +147% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, AV23IUa has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently ranks #13 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Avg edge (per position)
+147%
Positions (90d)
27
87.9
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
This trader's average return across 27 resolved positions was +147%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin Blanch
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
National Bank Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Yibing Wu
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Maxim Zhukov
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Hamburg: Ergi Kirkin vs Andrej Nedic
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
National Bank Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina Svitolina
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Hamburg: Olle Wallin vs Carlos Taberner
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Astana: Kasidit Samrej vs Kokoro Isomura
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?
Resolved Jul 30, 2026