justdance

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, justdance closed 82 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +38% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, justdance shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #63 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#63

Sirtio score

67.6

Avg edge (per position)

+38%

Positions (90d)

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+38%

across 82 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+2.74

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

67.6

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$20,520 on "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?" (a 69% return). The worst was a -$4,363 loss on "Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes

+$20,52069%

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes

+$15,969921%

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes

+$15,041288%

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes

+$11,2007687%

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes

+$9,2331168%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

-$4,363-22%

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on August 19?

Yes

-$2,781-34%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

-$2,288-25%

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?

Yes

-$1,367-29%

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?

Yes

-$756-8%

All Positions (Last 90 Days)

MarketSideEntryPnLReturn

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on August 23?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes46c+$2198%

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on August 23?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes52c-$12-3%

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes39c+$2,52529%

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes47c+$3,7166%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Up35c+$845%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Up59c-$208-16%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Up52c-$7-4%

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes43c+$3,00515%

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes22c+$15,041288%

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes30c+$20,52069%

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes43c+$2,62325%

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on August 23?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes46c+$108%

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on August 23?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes36c+$2539%

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes48c+$5594%

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes37c+$7,37635%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Up67c-$1-26%

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes43c+$1116%

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes48c+$3373%

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes46c+$7029%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Up57c-$131-13%

XRP Up or Down - August 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Up47c+$06%

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes45c+$4811%

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Yes48c+$53%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Up54c-$103-8%

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on August 22?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Yes44c+$9614%

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on August 22?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Yes50c+$11%

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Yes49c+$3183%

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Yes44c+$2115%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Up55c-$35-9%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Up60c-$161-17%

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Yes72c-$76-0%

XRP Up or Down - August 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Up49c+$01%

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Yes59c+$92224%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Up67c-$2,288-25%

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes41c+$1,77522%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Up58c-$11-14%

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 21?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes33c+$16553%

Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 21?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes47c+$16%

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes53c-$81-5%

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes16c+$6,346419%

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes1c+$11,2007687%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Up43c+$1,30215%

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes48c+$275%

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes10c+$15,969921%

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes38c+$2,23332%

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes54c-$756-8%

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes39c+$1,10027%

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes41c+$1,25221%

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes4c+$5,5622577%

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes2c+$7,8606466%

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes3c+$7053471%

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

No94c+$746%

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Yes13c+$1,447669%

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes41c+$3,26921%

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes43c+$1,99716%

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes8c+$9,2331168%

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on August 20?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes45c+$1412%

Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on August 20?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes55c-$394-8%

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes24c+$7,570141%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Up54c-$2-7%

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes4c+$202355%

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes36c+$56838%

Solana Up or Down - August 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Up35c+$544%

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on August 20?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes45c+$1612%

Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on August 20?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes48c+$33%

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes44c+$1,62627%

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Yes46c+$54810%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Up59c-$32-15%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Up43c+$30316%

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on August 19?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Yes75c-$2,781-34%

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Yes30c+$5,635153%

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Yes70c-$1,367-29%

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Yes42c+$82318%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Up50c+$70%

Solana Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Up52c-$124-3%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Up44c+$83114%

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Yes5c+$5,9712019%

Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Yes50c-$29-1%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Up45c+$1512%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Up57c-$100-12%

Solana Up or Down - August 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Up53c-$45-6%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Up68c-$102-26%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Up48c+$05%

Solana Up or Down - August 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Up58c-$4-14%

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 18?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Yes46c+$678%

Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 18?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Yes51c-$2-2%

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Yes54c+$631%

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Yes52c+$1,08156%

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Yes72c+$1072%

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 18?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Yes49c+$32%

Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Up50c-$89-1%

Solana Up or Down - August 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Up48c+$2464%

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Up64c-$4,363-22%

XRP Up or Down - August 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Up48c+$933%

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Yes61c+$1,05354%