Tier
Great
Over the last 30 days, Contestable-Parfait closed 172 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +11% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Contestable-Parfait has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #62 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#62
Sirtio score
77.5
Avg edge (per position)
+11%
Positions (30d)
172
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 172 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 47% of Contestable-Parfait's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+11%
across 172 positions
Z-score
+3.87
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
77.5
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$118,939 on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" (a 67% return). The worst was a -$11,542 loss on "Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?".
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
Yes
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
Yes
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Yes
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Yes
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Will Republicans win the Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?
Will Republicans win the Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats?
Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats, and Democrats win Ohio?
Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats, and Democrats win Ohio?
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026?
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats, and Republicans win Ohio?
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats, and Republicans win Ohio?
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?
Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?
Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election?
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election?
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?