Tier
Elite
Over the last 90 days, saftey-first closed 6 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +76% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, saftey-first ranks among the most skilled Polymarket traders we track and currently sits at rank #32 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#32
Sirtio score
87.5
Avg edge (per position)
+76%
Positions (90d)
6
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+76%
across 6 positions
Z-score
+7.24
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
87.5
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$56,274 on "Spread: CAR (-1.5)" (a 92% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report. That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
Spread: CAR (-1.5)
CAR
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty
New York Liberty
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)
New York Liberty
Panthers vs. Jaguars
Panthers
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 192.5
Under
No losing positions in this window.
Spread: CAR (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 192.5
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Panthers vs. Jaguars
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 190.5
Resolved Aug 22, 2026