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InterestingUser

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 90 days, InterestingUser closed 460 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +21% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, InterestingUser has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #36 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#36

Sirtio score

78.8

Avg edge (per position)

+21%

Positions (90d)

460

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 460 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 55% of InterestingUser's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+21%

across 460 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+8.16

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

78.8

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$30,000 on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?" (a 10% return). The worst was a -$7,536 loss on "Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

--

+$30,00010%

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

--

+$20,00013%

Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?

Yes

+$4,22778%

Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?

Yes

+$2,24061%

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

No

+$1,81783%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

Yes

-$7,536-91%

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?

No

-$4,776-92%

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No

-$609-12%

Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?

Yes

-$562-16%

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

No

-$300-99%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 1, 2026)

Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedYes82c entry
+$197%

Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldNo85c entry
+$1112%

Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldNo84c entry
-$51-4%

Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$461%

Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes47c entry
+$38249%

Will Ida Eriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$8428%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldNo63c entry
+$1214%

Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes52c entry
+$13%

Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes50c entry
+$7228%

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes46c entry
+$2432%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes15c entry
+$666%

Will Félix Orlando Gamarra Reyes win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$161%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNo53c entry
+$3420%

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldYes50c entry
+$1486%

Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$242%

Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$16%

Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNo95c entry
-$5-0%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will “Safe” by Cardi B featuring Kehlani win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026MergedYes29c entry
+$2475%

Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Best Visual Effects at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNo75c entry
+$511%

Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$312%

Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes8c entry
+$8112%

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes38c entry
+$112%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes32c entry
+$236%

Will Frank Ocean be featured on GTA VI: The Album?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldNo74c entry
+$27%

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes30c entry
+$2282%

Will Lamb Weston (LW) beat quarterly earnings?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldNo21c entry
+$1551%

Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes33c entry
+$69563%

Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes8c entry
+$350%

Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be below 3.00 ft by November 30?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$49%

Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes62c entry
+$86542%

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$606%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$12029%

Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026MergedNo74c entry
+$13835%

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes11c entry
+$118501%

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldNo82c entry
+$6613%

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes15c entry
+$7655%

Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo47c entry
+$299107%

Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$63210%

Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$19217%

Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo87c entry
+$1909%

Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$76925%

Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes55c entry
+$11548%

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes46c entry
-$131-3%

Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes35c entry
+$448149%

Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$011%

Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Editing at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$39059%

Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$16239%

Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$612%

Will Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$22418%

Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will EFG Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes33c entry
+$5520%

Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$3424%

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$15%

Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes60c entry
+$1978%

Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$114%

Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$596%

Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$2749%

Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes50c entry
+$42%

Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes96c entry
+$20%

Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo11c entry
-$18-4%

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes84c entry
+$984%

Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes77c entry
+$918%

Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo27c entry
+$852187%

Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$52%

Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo95c entry
-$38-1%

Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldNo52c entry
+$1,43582%

Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldYes48c entry
-$7,536-91%

Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldNo78c entry
+$1510%

Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldNo64c entry
+$5613%

Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldYes57c entry
+$1017%

Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldYes68c entry
+$011%

Will Lainey Wilson win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldYes10c entry
+$350%

Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026Force-closedYes37c entry
-$66-100%

Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$59%

Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldNo58c entry
+$152%

Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$4510%

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldNo35c entry
-$609-12%

Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$3862%

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldNo51c entry
-$300-99%

Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$45%

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$210%

Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$13-2%

Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will “Dai Dai” by Shakira and Burna Boy win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes55c entry
-$18-8%

Will “Choka Choka” by Anitta and Shakira win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$32%

Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes34c entry
+$7245%

Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$3011%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.0M in August?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$2221%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$845%

Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldYes66c entry
+$6253%

Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldYes63c entry
+$9818%

Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldNo82c entry
+$5512%

Will Activision Blizzard Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldNo81c entry
+$1515%

Will Parveen Bola win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$82%

Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldYes38c entry
+$16214%

Google announces a full training pause in 2026?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$187%

Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldNo97c entry
+$11%

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in September?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$154%

Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldYes12c entry
+$2845%

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$27%

Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldYes92c entry
+$203%

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldYes93c entry
+$415%

Will Jimmy Ekström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNo98c entry
+$212%

Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNo83c entry
+$8820%

Will Emmanuel Unuafe win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$16%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldYes94c entry
+$104%

Will there be a power grid emergency in New England before October 1?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$17%

Will there be a power grid emergency in California before October 1?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$168%

Will Ntombi Nama be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNo81c entry
+$14224%

KOSPI all-time high before 2028?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldYes35c entry
+$73832%

Will Barry Avotu Johnson win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNo81c entry
+$2423%

Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldYes87c entry
+$12112%

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$48%

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes59c entry
+$29010%

Will there be a power grid emergency in the Mid-Atlantic before October 1?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo85c entry
+$7116%

Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$1313%

Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo78c entry
-$8-1%

Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes34c entry
+$7347%

Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes51c entry
-$259-12%

Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo72c entry
+$95%

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes28c entry
+$8144%

Will Nick Offerman – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026Force-closedYes5c entry
-$23-100%

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo77c entry
+$19118%

Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$382%

Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo81c entry
-$3-0%

Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes60c entry
+$2912%

Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes72c entry
+$393%

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo71c entry
+$16712%

Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes94c entry
+$283%

Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026MergedYes25c entry
+$230104%

Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$4333%

Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$25-5%

Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026MergedNo56c entry
+$1280%

Will there be a power grid emergency in the Central US before October 1?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo54c entry
+$5472%

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes5c entry
+$26158%

Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo85c entry
+$28511%

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$33%

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo53c entry
-$4,776-92%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by September 30?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$00%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$699%

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldYes7c entry
-$86-61%

Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldNo81c entry
+$522%

Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$56432%

Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes10c entry
+$14878%

Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedNo49c entry
+$31106%

SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedNo50c entry
+$798%

Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$31%

DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$3445%

Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$10018%

Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldYes67c entry
+$7611%

Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldNo51c entry
+$5721%

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldYes17c entry
+$23879%

Will Playboi Carti have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldNo81c entry
+$318%

Will Democrats win 14 or more House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$01%

Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026MergedNo56c entry
+$14380%

Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026MergedNo65c entry
+$3854%

Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$119%

Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$45%

Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026MergedNo77c entry
+$1429%

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldYes75c entry
+$33633%

Will Rose Diamond win the next Launceston mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$1314%

Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026MergedYes12c entry
+$482754%

Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldNo84c entry
+$4413%

Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldYes54c entry
+$10734%

Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldYes75c entry
+$22233%

Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes92c entry
+$01%

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes82c entry
+$49618%

Will Linda Frohm be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$314%

Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes74c entry
+$124%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo80c entry
-$80-3%

Will Bia Kicis win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$310%

Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo80c entry
+$5315%

Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo82c entry
+$344%

Will Jonny Lundin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$637%

Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo81c entry
+$3421%

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo88c entry
-$42-5%

Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo87c entry
-$26-1%

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes85c entry
+$1494%

Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes27c entry
+$569164%

Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes6c entry
-$41-35%

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$392%

Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedNo27c entry
+$11270%

Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$236%

Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$14622%

Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$96%

Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$14538%

Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$99%

Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$6613%

Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$308%

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes56c entry
+$1813%

Will Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$315%

Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$0-2%

Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes33c entry
+$4,22778%

Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$12415%

Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$12150%

Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$611%

Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$5330%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$22%

Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$303%

Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$61%

Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes57c entry
+$10928%

Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedNo8c entry
+$1,1041136%

Will Kyle Barrett win the next Launceston mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$4819%

Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$5529%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in September?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$2510%

Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 86-88%?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$11%

Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes54c entry
-$1-7%

Will Asif Khan win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$84%

Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$112%

Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$55%

Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedNo64c entry
+$5857%

Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$11%

Will Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$222102%

Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$8924%

Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$1021%

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026MergedYes29c entry
+$15189%

Will United Russia win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes92c entry
+$379%

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$51%

Will Carol de Toni win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$01%

Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$32%

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes51c entry
+$22026%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldYes57c entry
+$628%

Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldYes39c entry
+$2,24061%

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Marilyn Crawford win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$01%

Will Ashmeed Khan win the 2026 Ajax mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$111%

Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$44%

LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will Håkan Karlsson-Nyborg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedNo94c entry
+$186%

Will Elizabeth Roy win the 2026 Whitby mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$338%

Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$45253%

Will Volker Kromm win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldYes41c entry
+$2124%

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $470,000 and $478,000 on September 30?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$11%

Will Radim Bzura be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldNo83c entry
+$1820%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldYes57c entry
+$315%

Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$05%

Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes31c entry
+$3240%

Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$01%

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$211%

Will Yiwarr McGrath win the next Mulka by-election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$14%

Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes19c entry
+$63368%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$148%

Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$229%

Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$17416%

Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedNo71c entry
+$40341%

Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$3018%

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026Merged50c entry
+$20,00013%

Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldNo85c entry
+$1117%

Will The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$416%

Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldNo100c entry
-$8-0%

Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldYes94c entry
+$273%

Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$75110%

Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldYes58c entry
+$031%

Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldNo99c entry
+$01%

Will Bongiwe Sauli be the next mayor of Buffalo City?

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$3416%

Will the Republican Party win the IN-07 House seat?

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$2225%

Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$7914%

Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldYes12c entry
+$275%

Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldYes85c entry
+$647%

Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldYes47c entry
+$6040%

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes30c entry
+$4266%

Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes63c entry
-$5-21%

Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes32c entry
+$49757%

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes25c entry
+$875101%

Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$423%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$20312%

Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$114%

Will Claude Villeneuve win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedNo65c entry
+$854%

Daejon Love convicted of fraud or conspiracy by June 30?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$916%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$12%

Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$106%

Will Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$25%

Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes33c entry
+$751%

Will Ryan Posselt win the next Hobart mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$3513%

Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$2813%

Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$00%

Will Sebastian Cehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes4c entry
+$2202551%

Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedNo93c entry
+$77%

Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedNo73c entry
+$2237%

Will Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$5533%

Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedNo88c entry
+$1313%

Will Toby Thorpe win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$57%

Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$26-5%

Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$32-5%

Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$14-3%

Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$34015%

Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$18231%

Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$6-1%

Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 6, 2026MergedYes29c entry
+$16070%

Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldYes34c entry
-$6-5%

Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$326%

Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026SoldYes19c entry
+$9279%

Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes90c entry
+$30111%

Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes33c entry
+$10452%

Will Nathalie St-Pierre win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedNo90c entry
+$211%

Over $2M committed to the Linera public sale?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$14%

Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$3410%

Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $130B by September 30?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$23%

Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$737%

Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes17c entry
+$51397%

Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15.5B by September 30?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$1214%

Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$23%

Will the CAQ win 30 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$136%

Will André Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$21418%

Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$85%

Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$157%

Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes67c entry
+$73250%

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$21%

Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$12722%

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026Merged50c entry
+$30,00010%

Will Paige Beauchemin be the NH-02 Democratic nominee?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$182%

Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$4-1%

Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$5818%

Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$7922%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedUnder39c entry
+$9727%

Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedNo87c entry
+$13614%

Will Maggie Goodlander be the NH-02 Democratic nominee?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$334%

Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$110%

Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$12%

Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$720%

Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$27534%

Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$62%

Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$7723%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 55% or more?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedNo96c entry
+$45%

Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$2311%

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026MergedNo48c entry
+$39110%

Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldYes69c entry
+$746%

Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Resolved Sep 1, 2026SoldYes22c entry
-$1-26%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $750B by September 30?

Resolved Sep 1, 2026SoldNo94c entry
+$114%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $825B by September 30?

Resolved Sep 1, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$12%

Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?

Resolved Sep 1, 2026SoldNo13c entry
-$15-93%

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

Resolved Aug 31, 2026SoldNo27c entry
-$16-8%

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Aug 31, 2026SoldNo12c entry
-$107-14%

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?

Resolved Aug 31, 2026SoldNo30c entry
-$1-4%

Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$01%

SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$1723%

Will Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano win the next Cusco mayoral elections?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedNo79c entry
+$426%

Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$3912%

Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedNo69c entry
+$545%

Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$3234%

Will Miranda Rocca-Circelli win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$2227%

Will Wilson Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes63c entry
+$8234%

Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$238%

Will José Francisco Gálvez Tineo win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$1714%

Will Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes8c entry
+$3821180%

Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$18011%

Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$19011%

Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$12612%

Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026MergedNo28c entry
+$491259%

Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation fall below 3,490 ft?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldNo92c entry
+$75%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$167%

Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldNo39c entry
+$552%

Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldNo74c entry
+$78%

Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$08%

Will Victor Cumming win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$117%

Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$58%

Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$316%

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$1-2%

Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$2523%

Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedNo44c entry
+$59125%

Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$48%

Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$107%

Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$3317%

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$209%

Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$7616%

Will Fred Francis win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$2620%

Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes5c entry
+$3252069%

Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$9233%

Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes53c entry
-$35-7%

Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes59c entry
-$562-16%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes93c entry
+$608%

Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes26c entry
+$1,754260%

Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes70c entry
+$21143%

Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldYes43c entry
+$13948%

Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?

Resolved Aug 26, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$382%

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Resolved Aug 26, 2026SoldNo8c entry
+$4591164%

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Resolved Aug 26, 2026SoldNo24c entry
+$1,81783%

Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$18%

Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedNo37c entry
+$26170%

Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$13%

Will Kevin West be the Oklahoma Commissioner of Labor Republican nominee?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$315%

Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$2113%

Will Gracinha Caiado win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$1216%

Pikachu ex Price Over/Under $1,059.87 on September 30?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$11%

Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$13926%

Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$527%

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedNo36c entry
+$299175%

Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedNo74c entry
+$47036%

Will Robert Franklin be the Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026MergedYes35c entry
+$10741%

Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026SoldYes90c entry
+$464%

Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$1847%

Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026SoldYes74c entry
+$1512%

Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedNo75c entry
+$2233%

Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes20c entry
+$2400%

Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$419%

Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$627%

Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes36c entry
+$3638%

Will Yomelela Tyali be the next mayor of Buffalo City?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedNo84c entry
+$4919%

Will Sheldon Starrett win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$3011%

Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes35c entry
+$105183%

Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in July?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes7c entry
+$991438%

Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$106%

Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$1010%

Will Pedro Paulo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$1514%

Will Arthur Lira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$2-1%

Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes42c entry
+$6920%

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$39022%

Will Wellington Fagundes win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$41%

Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedNo61c entry
+$18564%

Will Ciro Nogueira win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$15333%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$7628%

Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes35c entry
+$12541%

Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026MergedYes28c entry
+$617262%

Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$14%

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedNo27c entry
+$3270%

Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$334%

Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$76%

Will Namadi Umar Alhaji win the 2027 Jigawa State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$12%

Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$2331%

Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$01%

Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
-$0-1%

Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$1011%

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$422%

Will Zequinha Marinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$511%

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$2715%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$43915%

Will Ifeanyi Chukwuma Odii win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$21%

Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$2014%

Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$4222%

Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$2214%

Will Ralph Norman win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$2011%

Will Darline Graham Nordone win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$217%

Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedNo52c entry
+$24691%

Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$62%

Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$429%

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes51c entry
-$9-2%

Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$177%

Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$326%

Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes23c entry
+$244331%

Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$83%

Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$13114%

Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes46c entry
+$1019%

Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$335%

Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$815%

Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldYes64c entry
-$18-3%

Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes38c entry
+$82830%

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedNo7c entry
+$81329%

Cambria listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 11%?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedUnder50c entry
+$01%

Will Wandisile Jikeka be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$410%

Will Leila do Vôlei win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$14%

Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$13%

Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes65c entry
+$119%

Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes37c entry
+$1934%

Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$44%

Will Marcelo Castro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes41c entry
+$1923%

Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$5813%

Will Luizianne win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$137%

Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$1510%

Will Helio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$22%

Will Mkhululi Dlevu be the next mayor of Buffalo City?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedNo91c entry
+$1610%

Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedNo2c entry
+$1504077%

Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes61c entry
+$267%

Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes39c entry
+$5829%

Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$93%

Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedUnder49c entry
+$63%

Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$42%

Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes45c entry
+$3212%

Will Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$2715%

Will John Pfeiffer be the Oklahoma Commissioner of Labor Republican nominee?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes44c entry
+$2313%

Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes47c entry
+$50979%

Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$192%

Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$51%

Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$41%

Will ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$123%

Will FDP be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo96c entry
+$22%

Will Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$49%

Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$810%

Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldYes5c entry
+$019%

Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldYes76c entry
+$47%

Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldYes58c entry
+$329%

Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes12c entry
+$5733%

Will Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$02%

Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$03%

Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes43c entry
+$317%

Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$24%

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 49.0 in August?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedNo80c entry
+$425%

Duane Keith Davis convicted of Tupac's murder?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedNo17c entry
+$12488%

Will Luizianne win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$01%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$03%

Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$44%

Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$11%

Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$31%

Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes53c entry
+$3111%

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes49c entry
+$122%

Theo James announced as next James Bond?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedNo95c entry
+$545%

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by 3–6%?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedNo56c entry
+$35280%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes48c entry
+$134%

Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedYes50c entry
+$51%

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026MergedNo20c entry
+$303400%

Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?

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Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?

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Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?

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+$55827%