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saintaphextwin

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, saintaphextwin closed 35 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +76% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, saintaphextwin shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #86 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#86

Sirtio score

66.4

Avg edge (per position)

+76%

Positions (90d)

35

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 35 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 90% of saintaphextwin's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+76%

across 35 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.24

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

66.4

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$8,191 on "Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" (a 157% return). The worst was a -$8,799 loss on "Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes

+$8,191157%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Top Esports

+$5,768185%

Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5

Over

+$5,281212%

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes

+$4,438400%

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes

+$4,158115%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5

Over

-$8,799-100%

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)

Minnesota Lynx

-$5,111-100%

Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes

-$1,715-85%

Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes

-$764-85%

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Yes

-$513-45%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 1, 2026)

Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldYes11c entry
-$1,715-85%

Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldYes3c entry
-$764-85%

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes56c entry
-$513-45%

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)

Resolved Sep 7, 2026Force-closedMinnesota Lynx46c entry
-$5,111-100%

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5

Resolved Sep 6, 2026Force-closedOver66c entry
-$8,799-100%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Sep 6, 2026Force-closedTeam WE58c entry
+$4,08073%

Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?

Resolved Aug 28, 2026SoldYes15c entry
-$152-33%

Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldYes12c entry
-$142-56%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 7, 2026SoldTop Esports47c entry
+$2,939113%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 7, 2026SoldTop Esports35c entry
+$5,768185%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Resolved Jul 26, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming80c entry
+$88425%

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Jul 25, 2026SoldTop Esports66c entry
+$1,88351%

LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldLGD Gaming45c entry
+$3,693124%

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Resolved Jul 19, 2026SoldYes24c entry
+$5815%

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolved Jul 18, 2026SoldYes28c entry
+$8,191157%

Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournament

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldYes20c entry
-$26-17%

Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldWashington Mystics48c entry
+$2,883108%

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Resolved Jul 14, 2026SoldSpain44c entry
+$3,083125%

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Resolved Jul 11, 2026SoldNo47c entry
+$2,944113%

Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo

Resolved Jul 10, 2026SoldToronto Tempo30c entry
+$1310%

France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5

Resolved Jul 9, 2026SoldOver55c entry
+$2,49482%

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)

Resolved Jul 9, 2026SoldGolden State Valkyries48c entry
+$3,460108%

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldSwitzerland47c entry
+$2,939113%

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldYes60c entry
+$2,60966%

Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldOver32c entry
+$5,281212%

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldYes46c entry
+$4,158115%

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldOver47c entry
+$2,351113%

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldOver33c entry
+$2,973203%

United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldYes62c entry
+$1,68461%

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldOver54c entry
+$2,55085%

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Resolved Jul 6, 2026SoldYes51c entry
+$3,38297%

Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5

Resolved Jul 6, 2026SoldOver29c entry
+$2,363244%

Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Jul 6, 2026SoldYes48c entry
+$2,306108%

Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Jul 5, 2026SoldYes60c entry
+$1,77367%

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Resolved Jul 5, 2026SoldYes20c entry
+$4,438400%