Tier
Good
Over the last 30 days, DancewithRisk closed 160 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +7% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, DancewithRisk shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #104 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#104
Sirtio score
63.9
Avg edge (per position)
+7%
Positions (30d)
160
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+7%
across 160 positions
Z-score
+2.50
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
63.9
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$180 on "Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?" (a 62% return). The worst was a -$2 loss on "Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?".
This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.