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DancewithRisk

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, DancewithRisk closed 167 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +9% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, DancewithRisk shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #80 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#80

Sirtio score

67.6

Avg edge (per position)

+9%

Positions (90d)

167

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+9%

across 167 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.58

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

67.6

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$5,550 on "Fed rate hike in 2026?" (a 22% return). The worst was a -$2,519 loss on "Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes

+$5,55022%

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes

+$2,48925%

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Yes

+$2,05716%

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Yes

+$1,68713%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes

+$1,3029%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Yes

-$2,519-9%

Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes

-$515-40%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?

Yes

-$426-15%

Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?

Yes

-$291-40%

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

No

-$239-12%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 1, 2026)

Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes72c entry
+$1304%

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes14c entry
-$161-13%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes22c entry
+$40910%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes14c entry
-$198-31%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes19c entry
-$2-0%

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes37c entry
+$363%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes20c entry
+$1,09114%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes26c entry
+$65211%

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldYes61c entry
+$163%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?

Resolved Sep 26, 2026MergedYes40c entry
+$2514%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldYes43c entry
+$253%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNo69c entry
+$9316%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldYes14c entry
+$17212%

Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldYes5c entry
+$23092%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNo54c entry
+$3710%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes30c entry
+$486%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.325T by September 30?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026RedeemedNo20c entry
-$64-37%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldNo47c entry
+$69%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes6c entry
-$22-25%

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes14c entry
+$10251%

Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes62c entry
+$66813%

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes25c entry
+$1612%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes7c entry
-$228-31%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldYes11c entry
+$5712%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes44c entry
-$26-1%

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes26c entry
+$1283%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes3c entry
-$0-4%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes3c entry
-$2-35%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes3c entry
-$9-26%

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes25c entry
+$48826%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.125T by September 30?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes4c entry
-$25-28%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldYes20c entry
+$414%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldNo61c entry
+$87%

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldYes11c entry
+$31218%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldNo95c entry
+$10%

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldYes73c entry
+$91%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldNo46c entry
+$1210%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldNo28c entry
+$16421%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldNo25c entry
+$515%

Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldYes32c entry
-$1-0%

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldYes17c entry
+$11623%

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldYes4c entry
+$13%

Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldYes22c entry
+$71851%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldNo59c entry
+$139%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldYes49c entry
-$3-1%

Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldYes22c entry
+$55%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldYes21c entry
+$18581%

Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldYes42c entry
-$515-40%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldYes0c entry
+$353857%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldNo49c entry
+$963%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldYes11c entry
+$70153%

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldYes22c entry
+$729%

Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldYes31c entry
+$16215%

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldYes17c entry
+$26824%

Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldYes1c entry
+$310%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30?

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNo46c entry
+$10727%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes84c entry
-$426-15%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldYes0c entry
+$1633%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo42c entry
+$495%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldNo16c entry
+$4820%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldYes7c entry
-$5-1%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldNo89c entry
+$10%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.225T by September 30?

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldYes41c entry
-$50-75%

Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldNo68c entry
+$7211%

Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldYes66c entry
+$617%

Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldNo78c entry
+$605%

Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldYes47c entry
+$2410%

Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldYes26c entry
-$6-9%

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldNo72c entry
+$331%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldNo71c entry
+$1081%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes2c entry
+$3103%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldNo5c entry
+$1820%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes59c entry
+$165%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026SoldYes14c entry
+$36017%

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes50c entry
-$2,519-9%

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes53c entry
+$1,68713%

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldYes37c entry
+$5,55022%

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldYes46c entry
+$2,48925%

Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldNo67c entry
+$59%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldYes14c entry
+$669%

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldNo71c entry
+$04%

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldNo56c entry
+$214%

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldNo45c entry
-$7-0%

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldYes41c entry
+$11%

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldNo29c entry
-$239-12%

Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldNo77c entry
+$236%

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Resolved Sep 3, 2026SoldYes1c entry
-$3-30%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.375T by September 30?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldNo29c entry
+$129%

Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldNo64c entry
+$508%

Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldYes71c entry
+$639%

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldYes10c entry
+$59%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by September 30?

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldNo13c entry
+$2072%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Resolved Sep 1, 2026SoldYes19c entry
+$1511%

Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?

Resolved Sep 1, 2026RedeemedYes39c entry
-$291-40%

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Resolved Sep 1, 2026SoldNo60c entry
+$67%

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 31, 2026SoldNo75c entry
+$56517%

Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Aug 31, 2026SoldYes2c entry
+$5186%

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Resolved Aug 29, 2026SoldNo78c entry
+$2411%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldNo80c entry
+$105%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026MergedYes77c entry
+$613%

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldNo45c entry
+$116%

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on September 30?

Resolved Aug 27, 2026SoldNo56c entry
+$27%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Resolved Aug 26, 2026SoldYes40c entry
+$4810%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026SoldNo62c entry
+$13813%

Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026

Resolved Aug 25, 2026SoldOpenAI69c entry
-$60-83%

Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Aug 25, 2026SoldYes73c entry
+$949%

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026SoldNo85c entry
+$105%

Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 300B HKD?

Resolved Aug 24, 2026SoldYes31c entry
-$1-1%

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldNo56c entry
-$51-5%

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldYes1c entry
+$3597%

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026SoldNo26c entry
-$184-15%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldYes4c entry
+$324%

Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$316%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$432%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldNo91c entry
+$1243%

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldYes1c entry
+$26324%

Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldYes49c entry
+$52%

Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026SoldNo71c entry
+$135%

Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 350B HKD?

Resolved Aug 11, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$4315%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Resolved Aug 7, 2026SoldYes34c entry
+$1,01816%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Resolved Aug 7, 2026SoldYes50c entry
+$1,3029%

Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Resolved Aug 6, 2026SoldYes20c entry
-$1-13%

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?

Resolved Aug 5, 2026SoldNo35c entry
+$23%

Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

Resolved Aug 4, 2026SoldNo61c entry
+$712%

Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?

Resolved Aug 3, 2026SoldNo64c entry
+$19%

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

Resolved Aug 2, 2026SoldNo66c entry
+$124%

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Resolved Aug 2, 2026SoldYes29c entry
+$4845%

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?

Resolved Aug 1, 2026SoldNo78c entry
+$5328%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?

Resolved Aug 1, 2026SoldNo82c entry
+$2158%

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Resolved Aug 1, 2026SoldYes39c entry
-$149-4%

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldYes41c entry
+$2,05716%

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026SoldYes89c entry
+$01%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026SoldNo86c entry
+$78%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldDown33c entry
+$241103%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026SoldNo73c entry
+$364%

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?

Resolved Jul 27, 2026SoldYes58c entry
+$45224%

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?

Resolved Jul 27, 2026SoldYes68c entry
+$46023%

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?

Resolved Jul 26, 2026SoldYes44c entry
+$35716%

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?

Resolved Jul 26, 2026SoldNo4c entry
+$820%

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?

Resolved Jul 26, 2026SoldNo12c entry
-$64-5%

Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 26, 2026SoldYes86c entry
+$4688%

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldNo13c entry
+$3823%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldNo14c entry
-$20-7%

Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 24, 2026SoldNo45c entry
+$22349%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldNo80c entry
+$85%

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldNo21c entry
+$1120%

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 23, 2026SoldNo54c entry
-$8-5%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldNo69c entry
+$73%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$69%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldYes1c entry
+$1740%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $800B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldYes17c entry
+$4524%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldNo70c entry
+$475%

Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $3.6B and $4.2B at market close on IPO day?

Resolved Jul 22, 2026SoldYes6c entry
-$3-92%

Will CXMT’s market cap be less than 250 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Jul 20, 2026SoldNo93c entry
+$755%

Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Resolved Jul 19, 2026SoldYes75c entry
-$7-9%

Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Resolved Jul 19, 2026SoldYes20c entry
+$232%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 19, 2026SoldNo58c entry
+$1059%

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 18, 2026SoldNo39c entry
+$2228%

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 18, 2026SoldNo38c entry
+$432%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by July 31?

Resolved Jul 18, 2026SoldNo83c entry
+$316%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldNo66c entry
+$858%

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$299%

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldNo76c entry
+$157%

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldNo69c entry
+$512%

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldDown88c entry
-$6-3%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 16?

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldDown81c entry
+$125%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldNo79c entry
+$71%

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldYes13c entry
+$015%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldYes31c entry
+$2915%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldNo34c entry
+$8686%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 13, 2026SoldNo34c entry
+$2615%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 12, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$202%

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 12, 2026SoldNo88c entry
+$102%

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?

Resolved Jul 11, 2026SoldNo60c entry
+$22%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Resolved Jul 11, 2026SoldYes16c entry
-$9-14%

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Resolved Jul 10, 2026SoldNo72c entry
+$275%

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Resolved Jul 10, 2026SoldNo73c entry
+$362%

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 7, 2026SoldNo90c entry
+$335%

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $165B by July 31?

Resolved Jul 6, 2026SoldNo36c entry
+$1612%

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Resolved Jul 6, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$21%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by July 31?

Resolved Jul 4, 2026SoldNo81c entry
+$32%

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 4, 2026SoldYes25c entry
+$27%

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by July 31?

Resolved Jul 3, 2026SoldNo51c entry
+$117%

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?

Resolved Jul 3, 2026SoldNo51c entry
+$37%