Tier
Good
Over the last 90 days, TheMafiaa closed 24 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +71% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, TheMafiaa shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #11 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#11
Sirtio score
74.7
Avg edge (per position)
+71%
Positions (90d)
24
Heads up: an estimated 92% of this trader's deployed capital is still sitting in open, unresolved positions. The Avg edge and Sirtio Score above are based only on positions that have actually closed -- they don't reflect that remaining open book.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+71%
across 24 positions
Z-score
+8.01
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
74.7
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$9,495 on "LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner" (a 173% return). The worst was a -$0 loss on "Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp".
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
GIANTX
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
TEAM VISION
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner
JD Gaming
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
Kiwoom DRX
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Top Esports
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 15, 2026
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 15, 2026
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 6, 2026
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Aug 1, 2026
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 31, 2026
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Jul 30, 2026
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Jul 30, 2026