Tier
Good
Over the last 90 days, Feromont closed 110 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +27% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Feromont shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #104 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#104
Sirtio score
63.5
Avg edge (per position)
+27%
Positions (90d)
110
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 110 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 75% of Feromont's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+27%
across 110 positions
Z-score
+3.40
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
63.5
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$99,255 on "Spread: Bills (-1.5)" (a 104% return). The worst was a -$11,520 loss on "San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets".
This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.