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Longdemshiuchiha

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 90 days, Longdemshiuchiha closed 40 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +171% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Longdemshiuchiha has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #50 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#50

Sirtio score

74.1

Avg edge (per position)

+171%

Positions (90d)

40

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+171%

across 40 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+3.90

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

74.1

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$36,946 on "Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August?" (a 3247% return). The worst was a -$1,064 loss on "Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August?

Yes

+$36,9463247%

Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 21?

Yes

+$28,2812413%

Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 21?

Yes

+$22,6703761%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?

Yes

+$14,76112761%

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?

Yes

+$12,7716187%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes

-$1,064-39%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Yes

-$274-35%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Yes

-$153-55%

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?

No

-$126-14%

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes

-$87-34%

All Positions (Last 90 Days)

MarketPnLReturn

Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 26?

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

+$11,0734479%

Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 21?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

+$28,2812413%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

+$6,8841916%

Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

+$36,9463247%

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on August 20?

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

+$1,0387508%

Will Solana reach $90 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$1,0412290%

Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on August 20?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$3,9312229%

Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 21?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$22,6703761%

Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 22?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$4,7463107%

Will XRP reach $1.30 on August 20?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$6,7205173%

Will XRP reach $1.30 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$6,2842443%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 21?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$6,2629584%

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$10,1461665%

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$12,6592290%

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

+$12,7716187%

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 20?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

+$2,0354709%

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

+$14,76112761%

Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 19?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

+$3,4635772%

Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 19?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

+$2,5134503%

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 19?

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

+$5781927%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 11?

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

+$206244%

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

-$126-14%

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

-$1,064-39%

Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

+$22930%

Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

+$00%

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

-$87-34%

Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

-$25-19%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

+$7610%

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 6?

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

+$335560%

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

+$68112%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

-$14-4%

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

-$2-1%

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 25?

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

+$161909%

Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 24?

Resolved Jun 24, 2026

+$2,7532877%

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Resolved Jun 22, 2026

-$57-46%

Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Resolved Jun 22, 2026

-$23-12%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

Resolved Jun 22, 2026

-$3-3%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Resolved Jun 22, 2026

-$274-35%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Resolved Jun 20, 2026

-$153-55%

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Resolved Jun 19, 2026

-$34-22%

Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Resolved Jun 19, 2026

-$59-23%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Resolved Jun 18, 2026

+$38578%

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?

Resolved Jun 18, 2026

+$54068%

Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

+$2,225853%

Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

+$39111%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on June 15?

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

+$33164%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 15?

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

+$770%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 15?

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

+$875%

Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 15?

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

+$6,1165828%

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

+$523292%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

+$773141%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11?

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

+$316873%

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

+$10689%

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

+$38102%

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

+$8447%

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

+$939%

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

+$11662%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 9?

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

+$253276%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 9?

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

+$344676%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8?

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

+$517569%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 8?

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

+$184201%

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

+$22%

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

+$430336%

Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

+$7,0001625%

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

+$103244%

Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 5?

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

+$2,9754168%

Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 4?

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

+$3,3133483%

Will Solana dip to $70 on June 3?

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

+$89513%

Will Solana dip to $75 on June 2?

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

+$1,5871480%

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

+$378848%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

+$101288%