Leaderboard rank
#18
Over the last 90 days, Talvez10 closed 13 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +298% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, Talvez10 has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently ranks #18 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Avg edge (per position)
+298%
Positions (90d)
13
82.4
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
This trader's average return across 13 resolved positions was +298%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.
Willson Contreras: Home Runs O/U 0.5
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Riley Greene: Home Runs O/U 0.5
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Jordan Walker: Home Runs O/U 0.5
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Corey Seager: Home Runs O/U 0.5
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Mike Trout: Home Runs O/U 0.5
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims)
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Resolved Aug 10, 2026