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sofa88888

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 90 days, sofa88888 closed 81 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +72% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, sofa88888 has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #34 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#34

Sirtio score

79.1

Avg edge (per position)

+72%

Positions (90d)

81

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 81 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 87% of sofa88888's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+72%

across 81 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+8.27

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

79.1

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$20,234 on "LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" (a 202% return). The worst was a -$8,050 loss on "Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Dplus KIA

+$20,234202%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

JD Gaming

+$16,372135%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

FUT Esports

+$12,636203%

Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)

SK Gaming

+$11,180127%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

FUT Esports

+$10,483170%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

Team Spirit

-$8,050-100%

Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

GamerLegion

-$6,600-100%

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Gen.G

-$6,458-100%

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

G2

-$6,300-100%

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Sinners (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Sinners

-$6,240-100%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 2, 2026)

Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 26, 2026Force-closedGamerLegion33c entry
-$6,600-100%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldAurora55c entry
+$2,77227%

Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Resolved Sep 21, 2026SoldConventus Stellarum47c entry
+$1302%

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNatus Vincere44c entry
-$736-12%

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldCA Osasuna49c entry
+$601%

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldGIANTX42c entry
+$8,685138%

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldGIANTX39c entry
+$201%

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldGIANTX44c entry
+$957%

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 9, 2026Force-closedTYLOO36c entry
-$2,857-100%

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved Sep 8, 2026Force-closedYes47c entry
+$9,275113%

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

Resolved Sep 8, 2026Force-closedDplus KIA62c entry
-$24-100%

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Resolved Sep 8, 2026Force-closedG2 Esports50c entry
+$6,000100%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

Resolved Sep 8, 2026Force-closedTeam Spirit35c entry
-$8,050-100%

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 6, 2026Force-closedNinjas in Pyjamas46c entry
+$7,121117%

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldDplus KIA43c entry
-$2,310-36%

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedG242c entry
-$6,300-100%

LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedTeam WE48c entry
-$1,062-8%

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldNinjas in Pyjamas52c entry
+$5,74892%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedNongshim Red Force49c entry
+$8,144104%

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldGen.G55c entry
+$080%

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 5, 2026RedeemedGen.G54c entry
-$6,458-100%

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports43c entry
-$1,371-79%

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldTop Esports51c entry
+$5,90197%

Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)

Resolved Sep 4, 2026SoldKT Rolster55c entry
-$360-34%

Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 4, 2026Force-closedKRÜ Esports45c entry
+$9,882122%

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Sinners (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Resolved Sep 3, 2026RedeemedSinners48c entry
-$6,240-100%

Counter-Strike: Color vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 2, 2026RedeemedColor40c entry
-$6,000-100%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldT141c entry
+$8,835144%

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldTeam WE50c entry
+$426100%

LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldTeam WE39c entry
+$5,970156%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldSpirit60c entry
+$3,99067%

Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldTeam Liquid50c entry
+$5,988100%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldFUT Esports37c entry
+$1,998170%

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldAnyones Legend58c entry
+$90572%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldAnyones Legend40c entry
+$9,145151%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldTEAM VISION56c entry
-$3,620-43%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports52c entry
+$3,82692%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports47c entry
+$7,178113%

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldFURIA51c entry
+$1,37295%

Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldSK Gaming44c entry
+$11,180127%

Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldTeam Yandex58c entry
+$6,28672%

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldDplus KIA33c entry
+$20,234202%

LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldTeam Vitality55c entry
+$5,38882%

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldKT Rolster54c entry
+$1,95686%

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming57c entry
+$4,71975%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldFUT Esports37c entry
+$10,483170%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldFUT Esports33c entry
+$12,636203%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldFUT Esports49c entry
+$1,883104%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldTEAM VISION57c entry
-$5-0%

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldTeam WE55c entry
+$4,93982%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldTEAM VISION54c entry
+$5,04985%

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldBNK FEARX49c entry
+$7,126104%

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 21, 2026SoldHANJIN BRION47c entry
+$7,406113%

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 20, 2026SoldG2 Esports46c entry
+$6,468117%

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 19, 2026Soldmagic42c entry
+$455138%

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldAstralis54c entry
+$5,50885%

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldTop Esports62c entry
+$2,32062%

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldPARIVISION47c entry
+$1,099113%

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldKiwoom DRX48c entry
+$577108%

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldBoomBoys45c entry
+$6,264122%

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 16, 2026SoldTeam Resilience48c entry
+$6,747108%

LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldSK Gaming43c entry
-$11-2%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldTeam Yandex43c entry
+$7,966132%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldLGD Gaming51c entry
+$10396%

Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldGamerLegion55c entry
+$19682%

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldTeam Resilience51c entry
+$5,86896%

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldLNG Esports37c entry
+$144170%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldTeam Liquid50c entry
+$6,487100%

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldNigma Galaxy49c entry
+$6,617104%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 15, 2026SoldLGD Gaming47c entry
+$7,406113%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldJD Gaming35c entry
+$16,372135%

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldDplus KIA47c entry
+$6,877113%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam Liquid44c entry
+$8,385127%

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldGamerLegion42c entry
+$7,258138%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam Liquid50c entry
-$2,940-49%

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldIron Wing46c entry
+$6,680118%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldNigma Galaxy47c entry
+$7,171113%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldNigma Galaxy49c entry
+$6,284104%

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldTeam Liquid39c entry
+$9,744156%

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 14, 2026SoldNigma Galaxy45c entry
+$7,686122%

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldAurora Gaming43c entry
+$7,781132%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved Aug 13, 2026SoldTEAM VISION46c entry
+$7,053119%