Leaderboard rank
#20
Over the last 90 days, ImJustKen closed 20 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +11% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, ImJustKen has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently ranks #20 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Avg edge (per position)
+11%
Positions (90d)
20
79.9
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
This trader's average return across 20 resolved positions was +11%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?
Resolved Aug 7, 2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Resolved Aug 7, 2026