Tier
Good
Over the last 90 days, murgionsek closed 2 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +69% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, murgionsek shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #89 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#89
Sirtio score
59.8
Avg edge (per position)
+69%
Positions (90d)
2
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+69%
across 2 positions
Z-score
+1.47
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
59.8
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$256,619 on "Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?" (a 115% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report. That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?
Yes
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?
Yes
No losing positions in this window.
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?
Resolved Aug 21, 2026
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?
Resolved Aug 21, 2026