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GEAEW

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 30 days, GEAEW closed 25 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +59% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, GEAEW has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #52 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#52

Sirtio score

81.6

Avg edge (per position)

+59%

Positions (30d)

25

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 25 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 95% of GEAEW's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+59%

across 25 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+4.65

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

81.6

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$14,202 on "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner" (a 175% return). The worst was a -$37,119 loss on "Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner".

Top 5 Wins (Last 30 Days)

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

GamerLegion

+$14,202175%

UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Joel Faglier

+$7,152183%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

Team Liquid

+$7,063127%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Team Spirit

+$6,40773%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Team Liquid

+$6,02578%

Top 5 Losses (Last 30 Days)

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner

TEAM VISION

-$37,119-100%

Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B

LEGION

-$284-2%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Team Yandex

-$9-0%

All Positions (Since Tracked Oct 17, 2026)

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 31, 2026RedeemedTeam Yandex86c entry
+$15817%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Resolved Oct 29, 2026SoldTeam Yandex46c entry
-$9-0%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 29, 2026RedeemedTeam Spirit73c entry
+$5,78436%

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?

Resolved Oct 28, 2026SoldNo43c entry
+$5,057132%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 28, 2026RedeemedTeam Spirit75c entry
+$38433%

Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B

Resolved Oct 27, 2026RedeemedLEGION57c entry
-$284-2%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Oct 27, 2026Force-closedTEAM VISION57c entry
-$37,119-100%

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 27, 2026Force-closedTeam Spirit58c entry
+$6,40773%

Pacers vs. Nets

Resolved Oct 26, 2026RedeemedPacers70c entry
+$2,70043%

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026SoldTeam Spirit67c entry
+$4,78250%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 25, 2026RedeemedTeam Liquid56c entry
+$6,02578%

LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Resolved Oct 25, 2026RedeemedBilibili Gaming75c entry
+$2,25033%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Resolved Oct 25, 2026RedeemedGen.G57c entry
+$5,29475%

Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5

Resolved Oct 24, 2026RedeemedUnder47c entry
+$5,200113%

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 23, 2026RedeemedPARIVISION92c entry
+$88%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 23, 2026RedeemedGamerLegion36c entry
+$14,202175%

Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Resolved Oct 23, 2026Redeemed76ers56c entry
+$4,31279%

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 22, 2026RedeemedTeam Liquid44c entry
+$7,063127%

Bulls vs. Raptors

Resolved Oct 22, 2026RedeemedRaptors79c entry
+$19327%

Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)

Resolved Oct 21, 2026RedeemedViking FK56c entry
+$38179%

UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Resolved Oct 17, 2026SoldJoel Faglier35c entry
+$7,152183%

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldDawn Bulls77c entry
+$14230%

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Oct 16, 2026SoldDawn Bulls47c entry
+$2,144111%

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Skyreavers - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Oct 15, 2026SoldSkyreavers69c entry
+$2,06842%

Dana White's Contender Series: Jason Asher vs. Greg Foster (Featherweight, Main Card)

Resolved Oct 13, 2026SoldGreg Foster79c entry
+$99726%