Tier
Break even
Over the last 90 days, esportsbetter1 closed 6 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +16% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, esportsbetter1 performs about in line with the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #308 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#308
Sirtio score
53.6
Avg edge (per position)
+16%
Positions (90d)
6
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 6 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 98% of esportsbetter1's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+16%
across 6 positions
Z-score
+0.67
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
53.6
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$20,152 on "Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" (a 122% return). The worst was a -$8,700 loss on "LSU vs. Ole Miss". That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.