--> Back to leaderboard

theowalcott

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 90 days, theowalcott closed 35 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +88% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, theowalcott has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #47 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#47

Sirtio score

83.1

Avg edge (per position)

+88%

Positions (90d)

35

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 35 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 75% of theowalcott's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+88%

across 35 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+7.35

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

83.1

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$238,481 on "Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)" (a 118% return). The worst was a -$59,518 loss on "Académico de Viseu FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)

Philadelphia Union

+$238,481118%

Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-12?

Yes

+$159,235114%

CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5

Over

+$76,56766%

Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?

No

+$67,726107%

Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5

Under

+$64,16291%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Académico de Viseu FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5

Under

-$59,518-100%

Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-08-09?

Yes

-$13,741-100%

Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-27?

Yes

-$12,148-100%

All Positions (Since Tracked Aug 14, 2026)

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-09-20?

Resolved Sep 21, 2026RedeemedYes46c entry
+$27,020118%

Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-27?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026Force-closedYes30c entry
-$12,148-100%

Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-09-20?

Resolved Sep 20, 2026RedeemedNo55c entry
+$13,20382%

Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 18, 2026RedeemedOver56c entry
+$22,48779%

Will Everton de Viña del Mar win on 2026-09-12?

Resolved Sep 12, 2026RedeemedYes39c entry
+$26,393153%

Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)

Resolved Sep 7, 2026RedeemedPhiladelphia Union46c entry
+$238,481118%

Académico de Viseu FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedUnder45c entry
-$59,518-100%

FC Alverca vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5

Resolved Sep 5, 2026RedeemedOver45c entry
+$6,023123%

Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-08-09?

Resolved Sep 5, 2026Force-closedYes50c entry
-$13,741-100%

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-30?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026RedeemedYes58c entry
+$32,38074%

CD Nacional vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 30, 2026RedeemedOver45c entry
+$36,458122%

Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-29?

Resolved Aug 30, 2026RedeemedNo48c entry
+$45,037110%

Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-29?

Resolved Aug 29, 2026RedeemedYes45c entry
+$124122%

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 20, 2026RedeemedOver60c entry
+$26,38768%

Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-19?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026RedeemedNo61c entry
+$11,94564%

CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 20, 2026RedeemedOver43c entry
+$8,349133%

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-19?

Resolved Aug 20, 2026RedeemedYes37c entry
+$24,547170%

Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5

Resolved Aug 20, 2026RedeemedOver62c entry
+$3,80061%

Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Aug 20, 2026RedeemedUnder52c entry
+$64,16291%

Deportivo Riestra AFBC vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata: O/U 1.5

Resolved Aug 19, 2026RedeemedOver57c entry
+$12,11975%

Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-08-14?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026RedeemedNo57c entry
+$1,14175%

Will CD La Serena win on 2026-08-14?

Resolved Aug 18, 2026RedeemedYes30c entry
+$20,092234%

Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-12?

Resolved Aug 13, 2026RedeemedNo49c entry
+$56,133103%

Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-12?

Resolved Aug 13, 2026RedeemedYes47c entry
+$159,235114%

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-12?

Resolved Aug 13, 2026RedeemedNo46c entry
+$16,270118%

Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?

Resolved Aug 12, 2026RedeemedNo48c entry
+$67,726107%

CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 12, 2026RedeemedOver60c entry
+$76,56766%

Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)

Resolved Aug 12, 2026RedeemedCA Boca Juniors61c entry
+$49,07263%

CA Banfield vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5

Resolved Aug 11, 2026RedeemedOver63c entry
+$26,91159%

CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5

Resolved Aug 11, 2026RedeemedOver38c entry
+$28,046161%

Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-08-09?

Resolved Aug 10, 2026RedeemedNo65c entry
+$17,62054%

Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-09?

Resolved Aug 10, 2026RedeemedNo56c entry
+$34,97777%

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-08-09?

Resolved Aug 10, 2026RedeemedYes49c entry
+$38,684102%

Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-08-10?

Resolved Aug 10, 2026RedeemedYes35c entry
+$6,500186%

Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)

Resolved Aug 10, 2026RedeemedAcadémico de Viseu FC53c entry
+$48,95787%