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Runemup

View on Polymarket

Tier

Great

Over the last 90 days, Runemup closed 72 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +49% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, Runemup has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #59 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#59

Sirtio score

78.8

Avg edge (per position)

+49%

Positions (90d)

72

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 72 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 63% of Runemup's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+49%

across 72 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+6.07

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

78.8

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$22,607 on "Porto: Elena Malygina vs Sinja Kraus" (a 80% return). The worst was a -$35,294 loss on "Falcons vs. Packers".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Porto: Elena Malygina vs Sinja Kraus

Sinja Kraus

+$22,60780%

Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva

Oksana Selekhmeteva

+$20,43798%

San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Daniel Milavsky

Timo Legout

+$18,300120%

Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Carolina M. Alves

Suzan Lamens

+$14,82491%

Seville: Jaume Munar vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Jaume Munar

+$14,657118%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

Falcons vs. Packers

Packers

-$35,294-100%

Tiburon: Ozan Baris vs Evan Zhu

Ozan Baris

-$25,260-100%

Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar

Francisco Comesana

-$15,691-100%

Navy vs. UAB

Navy

-$15,208-97%

Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Carole Monnet vs Katrina Scott

Katrina Scott

-$10,000-100%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 11, 2026)

Istanbul 3: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowski

Resolved Sep 27, 2026Force-closedMaks Kasnikowski47c entry
+$5,275113%

Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Ribera

Resolved Sep 26, 2026Force-closedMarina Bassols Ribera43c entry
-$548-5%

Navy vs. UAB

Resolved Sep 26, 2026SoldNavy61c entry
-$15,208-97%

Porto: Elena Malygina vs Sinja Kraus

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldSinja Kraus56c entry
+$22,60780%

Falcons vs. Packers

Resolved Sep 25, 2026RedeemedPackers69c entry
-$35,294-100%

Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldGolden State Valkyries74c entry
+$9,39429%

Will Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldYes71c entry
+$1,46140%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Resolved Sep 25, 2026SoldNew York Yankees58c entry
+$12,98072%

Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldOksana Selekhmeteva50c entry
+$20,43798%

Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar

Resolved Sep 24, 2026RedeemedFrancisco Comesana52c entry
-$15,691-100%

Hangzhou Open: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Vallejo

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldAdolfo Vallejo53c entry
+$2,62387%

St. Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Daniel Masur

Resolved Sep 24, 2026SoldDaniel Masur56c entry
+$1,56878%

St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Borna Gojo

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldTitouan Droguet60c entry
+$6,96066%

Ankara: Han Shi vs Ayla Aksu

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldHan Shi72c entry
+$3,86939%

Porto: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldGabriela Knutson59c entry
+$6,90969%

San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Daniel Milavsky

Resolved Sep 23, 2026SoldTimo Legout46c entry
+$18,300120%

San Diego 2: Mitchell Krueger vs Sebastian Gorzny

Resolved Sep 22, 2026SoldSebastian Gorzny41c entry
+$6,449146%

Szczecin: Tom Gentzsch vs Luka Mikrut

Resolved Sep 22, 2026RedeemedTom Gentzsch52c entry
-$2,158-100%

Caldas da Rainha: Noma Noha Akugue vs Malaika Rapolu

Resolved Sep 18, 2026RedeemedNoma Noha Akugue84c entry
-$1,424-100%

Phan Thiet 4: Cruz Hewitt vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldCruz Hewitt81c entry
+$22724%

Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldLiudmila Samsonova59c entry
+$74169%

Sao Paulo Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Teodora Kostovic

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldDarja Semenistaja49c entry
-$8,411-94%

Sao Paulo Open: Suzan Lamens vs Carolina M. Alves

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldSuzan Lamens52c entry
+$14,82491%

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox

Resolved Sep 16, 2026Force-closedChicago White Sox61c entry
+$7,65264%

Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldJanice Tjen68c entry
-$1,016-13%

Sao Paulo Open: Cadence Brace vs Solana Sierra

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldSolana Sierra70c entry
-$825-6%

Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldEva Lys74c entry
-$79-1%

Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldMichael Zheng75c entry
+$3,29433%

Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Stefan Kozlov

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldDarwin Blanch67c entry
+$6,01448%

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Resolved Sep 16, 2026SoldLos Angeles Dodgers57c entry
+$2,63475%

Tiburon: Karue Sell vs Michael Mmoh

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldMichael Mmoh74c entry
+$6,68434%

Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldTaylor Townsend76c entry
+$4,75132%

Tiburon: Ozan Baris vs Evan Zhu

Resolved Sep 14, 2026RedeemedOzan Baris64c entry
-$25,260-100%

Guadalajara Open Akron: Elvina Kalieva vs Kayla Day

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldKayla Day55c entry
+$11,45581%

Guangzhou: Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldColin Sinclair57c entry
+$7,41774%

Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldElias Ymer47c entry
+$10,532113%

Biella: Jay Clarke vs Jonas Forejtek

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldJay Clarke59c entry
+$2,62368%

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-09-13?

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldYes65c entry
+$6,55053%

Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Bianca Andreescu

Resolved Sep 14, 2026SoldCristina Bucsa55c entry
+$12,50383%

Commanders vs. Eagles

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldEagles67c entry
+$4,94849%

Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Carole Monnet vs Katrina Scott

Resolved Sep 13, 2026RedeemedKatrina Scott67c entry
-$10,000-100%

Saints vs. Lions

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldLions75c entry
+$9,54832%

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldYes83c entry
+$6,76720%

Barranquilla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Darja Semenistaja

Resolved Sep 12, 2026Force-closedDarja Semenistaja62c entry
-$224-100%

Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldPhilip Sekulic67c entry
+$5,41349%

Barranquilla: Julia Riera vs Anna Blinkova

Resolved Sep 11, 2026SoldAnna Blinkova66c entry
+$4,86051%

Barranquilla: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Tikhonova

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldElsa Jacquemot53c entry
+$12,34990%

Montreux: Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichail

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldSimona Waltert47c entry
+$10,002111%

Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldMax Alcala Gurri59c entry
+$3,42769%

Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldLukas Neumayer62c entry
+$4,20360%

Genoa: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Stefano Travaglia

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldEnrico Dalla Valle28c entry
+$5,136257%

Patriots vs. Seahawks

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldSeahawks65c entry
+$2,71754%

Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Resolved Sep 10, 2026SoldKaitlin Quevedo59c entry
+$10,19269%

Barranquilla: Leolia Jeanjean vs Julieta Pareja

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldLeolia Jeanjean53c entry
+$4,39888%

US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldElena Rybakina67c entry
+$7,39149%

Montreux: Nuria Brancaccio vs Dalma Galfi

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldDalma Galfi47c entry
+$8,197113%

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldSan Diego Padres48c entry
+$11,477108%

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldArizona Diamondbacks46c entry
+$8,788117%

US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldJessica Pegula64c entry
+$3,95157%

Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldSara Sorribes Tormo63c entry
+$10,33159%

Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna Rogers

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldKaitlin Quevedo64c entry
+$6,32455%

Seville: Jaume Munar vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldJaume Munar46c entry
+$14,657118%

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldLos Angeles Dodgers55c entry
+$7,82383%

US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Resolved Sep 8, 2026SoldBotic van de Zandschulp57c entry
+$5,25075%

Seville: Petr Brunclik vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldAlejandro Moro Canas62c entry
+$12,09461%

US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldMirra Andreeva64c entry
+$7,29256%

Genoa: Marco Cecchinato vs Laslo Djere

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldLaslo Djere57c entry
+$8,87474%

Genoa: Mika Petkovic vs Federico Arnaboldi

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldFederico Arnaboldi58c entry
+$7,36474%

Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Lorenzo Rottoli

Resolved Sep 7, 2026SoldValerio Aboian53c entry
+$2,65588%

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Etcheverry

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldAlex Michelsen72c entry
+$7,60438%

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldBoston Red Sox55c entry
+$4,89882%

US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldBotic van de Zandschulp45c entry
+$11,728122%