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ExplosiveNinja

View on Polymarket

Tier

Break even

Over the last 90 days, ExplosiveNinja closed 1 resolved position on Polymarket at an average return of +8% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, ExplosiveNinja performs about in line with the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #90 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#90

Sirtio score

50.6

Avg edge (per position)

+8%

Positions (90d)

1

PnL (Polymarket, monthly)

+$127,575

As reported by Polymarket's own leaderboard

Heads up: an estimated 100% of this trader's deployed capital is still sitting in open, unresolved positions. The Avg edge and Sirtio Score above are based only on positions that have actually closed -- they don't reflect that remaining open book, which is part of why they can look different from PnL figures you see elsewhere for this trader.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+8%

across 1 position

Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+0.17

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

50.6

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$53 on "Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" (a 8% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report. That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Legacy

+$538%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

No losing positions in this window.

All Positions (Since Tracked (Aug 28, 2026))

MarketPnLReturn

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

+$538%