Tier
Good
Over the last 30 days, AgricultureSecretary closed 22 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +26% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, AgricultureSecretary shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #95 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#95
Sirtio score
64.8
Avg edge (per position)
+26%
Positions (30d)
22
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+26%
across 22 positions
Z-score
+1.78
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
64.8
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$56 on "Set Handicap: Devin Badenhorst (-1.5) vs Micah Braswell (+1.5)" (a 92% return). The worst was a -$138 loss on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?".
This trader isn't in Sirtio's top 100 by score and has no followers, so we've paused fetching new position data for them -- the numbers above reflect their last tracked activity, not necessarily their current trading. Follow this trader (see the button near their name above) to resume tracking their live positions.