Tier
Great
Over the last 90 days, tsihkodiives closed 29 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +104% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, tsihkodiives has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #57 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#57
Sirtio score
70.0
Avg edge (per position)
+104%
Positions (90d)
29
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+104%
across 29 positions
Z-score
+3.15
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
70.0
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$53,232 on "Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?" (a 505% return). The worst was a -$1,104 loss on "Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?".
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
Yes
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Yes
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Yes
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
No
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
Yes
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
No
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Resolved Aug 24, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Resolved Aug 24, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
Resolved Aug 24, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 23, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 23, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Resolved Aug 22, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
Resolved Aug 21, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Resolved Aug 21, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 21, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 21, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 21, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?
Resolved Aug 20, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Resolved Aug 19, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Resolved Aug 19, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Resolved Jul 28, 2026
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved Jul 21, 2026
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Resolved Jul 19, 2026
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 19, 2026
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 19, 2026
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 19, 2026
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5
Resolved Jul 19, 2026
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
Resolved Jul 19, 2026