Tier
Good
Over the last 90 days, oneAce closed 23 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +37% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, oneAce shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #76 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#76
Sirtio score
63.5
Avg edge (per position)
+37%
Positions (90d)
23
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+37%
across 23 positions
Z-score
+2.05
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
63.5
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$7,249 on "Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?" (a 124% return). The worst was a -$7,135 loss on "Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?". That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Yes
Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden?
No
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score AND Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score
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Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card)
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score AND Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Aug 5, 2026
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 14, 2026
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 11, 2026
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 10, 2026
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 9, 2026
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 7, 2026
Will Colombia win the World Cup?
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jul 6, 2026
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jun 30, 2026
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jun 28, 2026
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jun 27, 2026
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jun 27, 2026
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved Jun 25, 2026