casualbet2020

Over the last 90 days, casualbet2020 closed 3 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +205% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, casualbet2020 shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #86 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 3 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 98% of casualbet2020's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.