Leaderboard rank
#3
Over the last 90 days, Weaseloftheweek closed 57 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +77% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, Weaseloftheweek ranks among the most statistically skilled Polymarket traders we track and currently ranks #3 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Avg edge (per position)
+77%
Positions (90d)
57
98.8
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
This trader's average return across 57 resolved positions was +77%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina
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Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals
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Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
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Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatek
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
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Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Game Handicap: BoomBoys (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
ODI Series England vs India: England vs India
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
Spread: France (-1.5)
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
National Bank Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elena Rybakina
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
National Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Resolved Aug 10, 2026
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-09?
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek
Resolved Aug 8, 2026
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
Resolved Jul 19, 2026
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
Resolved Jul 15, 2026
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Resolved Jul 11, 2026
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova
Resolved Jul 11, 2026
Team Yandex to win 2-0?
Resolved Jul 10, 2026
Aurora to win 2-0?
Resolved Jul 10, 2026
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
Resolved Jul 10, 2026
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D
Resolved Jul 9, 2026
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
Resolved Jul 9, 2026
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals
Resolved May 24, 2026
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?
Resolved May 24, 2026
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Resolved May 24, 2026
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals
Resolved May 24, 2026
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?
Resolved May 23, 2026
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Resolved May 23, 2026