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gmhenry

View on Polymarket

Tier

Good

Over the last 90 days, gmhenry closed 58 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +57% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, gmhenry shows a real edge over the average tracked trader, though a more moderate one and currently sits at rank #65 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Rank

#65

Sirtio score

71.0

Avg edge (per position)

+57%

Positions (90d)

58

Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 58 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 79% of gmhenry's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.

Sirtio Score Breakdown

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

Raw avg return

+57%

across 58 positions

→Shrunk toward the pool average, weighted by sample size

Z-score

+5.57

distance from average, adjusted for confidence

→Converted to a 0-100 scale

Sirtio score

71.0

The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.

The best single trade in this window was +$5,556 on "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner" (a 222% return). The worst was a -$2,827 loss on "LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner".

Top 5 Wins (Last 90 Days)

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

Anyones Legend

+$5,556222%

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Team WE

+$5,268104%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

Karmine Corp

+$5,033210%

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

JD Gaming

+$4,67964%

LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

GIANTX

+$4,549294%

Top 5 Losses (Last 90 Days)

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Gen.G

-$2,827-100%

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Yes

-$1,798-100%

LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winner

Nongshim Esports Academy

-$1,641-31%

LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

Kiwoom DRX Challengers

-$569-100%

LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

GAM Esports

-$510-46%

All Positions (Since Tracked Sep 6, 2026)

LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldTeam Liquid73c entry
+$94237%

Eagles vs. Titans

Resolved Sep 20, 2026SoldEagles64c entry
+$2,80556%

LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldLYON65c entry
+$3,33254%

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldMovistar KOI29c entry
+$303%

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 19, 2026SoldJD Gaming61c entry
+$4,67964%

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldNatus Vincere53c entry
+$2,34435%

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldJD Gaming69c entry
+$72311%

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldTeam WE49c entry
+$5,268104%

Lions vs. Bills

Resolved Sep 18, 2026SoldLions6c entry
+$46673%

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldTop Esports51c entry
+$4,40196%

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldInvictus Gaming61c entry
+$3,89064%

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

Resolved Sep 17, 2026SoldTop Esports42c entry
+$501%

Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Drama eSports - Map 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 15, 2026SoldDrama eSports44c entry
-$52-63%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 13, 2026SoldAnyones Legend40c entry
+$4,492150%

LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

Resolved Sep 10, 2026Force-closedKiwoom DRX Challengers14c entry
-$569-100%

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Resolved Sep 10, 2026Force-closedYes43c entry
-$1,798-100%

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Drama eSports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldDrama eSports46c entry
-$409-63%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 9, 2026Force-closedBilibili Gaming74c entry
+$1,04035%

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 9, 2026Force-closedGen.G42c entry
-$2,827-100%

LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winner

Resolved Sep 9, 2026SoldNongshim Esports Academy66c entry
-$1,641-31%

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldDplus KIA51c entry
+$00%

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 6, 2026SoldInvictus Gaming56c entry
+$3,51278%

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 5, 2026SoldNinjas in Pyjamas50c entry
+$4,47199%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 3, 2026SoldDplus KIA60c entry
+$2,55467%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Sep 3, 2026SoldBNK FEARX34c entry
+$3,984198%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports57c entry
+$2,34377%

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Resolved Sep 2, 2026SoldHanwha Life Esports61c entry
+$2,52964%

Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group D

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldHonvéd53c entry
+$78987%

LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner

Resolved Aug 30, 2026SoldTeam WE57c entry
+$1,07776%

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 28, 2026SoldHANJIN BRION48c entry
+$6923%

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner

Resolved Aug 26, 2026SoldKT Rolster65c entry
+$39120%

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 26, 2026SoldKT Rolster61c entry
+$1,62365%

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 26, 2026SoldHANJIN BRION44c entry
+$37229%

LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 24, 2026SoldGIANTX24c entry
+$4,549294%

LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 24, 2026SoldDeer Gaming78c entry
+$2074%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 23, 2026SoldAnyones Legend31c entry
+$5,556222%

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldNinjas in Pyjamas52c entry
+$2,19992%

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldNinjas in Pyjamas33c entry
+$669203%

LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 22, 2026SoldTeam WE52c entry
+$1,63949%

LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 10, 2026SoldDN SOOPers9c entry
+$28078%

LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

Resolved Aug 10, 2026SoldDN SOOPers43c entry
-$166-19%

LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Aug 9, 2026SoldJD Gaming44c entry
+$2,236127%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Aug 9, 2026SoldBNK FEARX80c entry
+$71218%

LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 18, 2026SoldKarmine Corp47c entry
+$24549%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldKarmine Corp32c entry
+$5,033210%

LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 17, 2026SoldGen.G79c entry
-$55-3%

LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldJD Gaming73c entry
+$1,27837%

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldKarmine Corp64c entry
+$1,56856%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Resolved Jul 16, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming46c entry
+$2,099117%

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldJD Gaming55c entry
+$2,58282%

LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldGAM Esports29c entry
-$510-46%

LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldKarmine Corp63c entry
+$1,83558%

LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldG2 Esports69c entry
+$92745%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming79c entry
+$92226%

LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldT155c entry
+$1,00382%

LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldSentinels38c entry
+$3,165163%

LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B

Resolved Jul 15, 2026SoldGen.G80c entry
+$79625%

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Jul 9, 2026SoldBilibili Gaming49c entry
+$1,558104%