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afkpnlucl

View on Polymarket

Leaderboard rank

#47

Over the last 90 days, afkpnlucl closed 5 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +3% per position. Based on Sirtio's Bayesian-shrunk skill model, afkpnlucl performs statistically in line with the average tracked trader and currently ranks #47 on Sirtio's leaderboard.

Avg edge (per position)

+3%

Positions (90d)

5

Sirtio Score breakdown

56.7

See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.

This trader's average return across 5 resolved positions was +3%. Sirtio Score doesn't use that raw number directly -- it's first blended toward the average trader's return, proportional to how little or much track record exists for this wallet, then measured against how uncertain that blended estimate still is. A thin sample or an inconsistent track record both widen that uncertainty and pull the score toward 50 (breakeven); a large, consistent sample lets the score move further from it in either direction.

Z-score+0.68

All positions (last 90 days)

MarketPnLReturn

Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

+$206%

Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

+$3120%

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

-$827-6%

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

-$2K-6%