Over the last 30 days, skitit closed 39 resolved positions on Polymarket at an average return of +131% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, skitit ranks among the most skilled Polymarket traders we track and currently sits at rank #6 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#6
Sirtio score
98.4
Avg edge (per position)
+131%
Positions (30d)
39
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 39 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 91% of skitit's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+131%
across 39 positions
Z-score
+12.97
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
98.4
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$5,100 on "Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers" (a 218% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report.
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
Grizzlies
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
Grizzlies
Knicks vs. 76ers
76ers
Knicks vs. 76ers
76ers
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LOS
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LOS
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Eternal Fire
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Eternal Fire
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Nemiga
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Nemiga
No losing positions in this window.
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Iberian Soul - Map 1 Winner
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Wildcard (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Playoffs
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Wildcard (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
Knicks vs. 76ers
Knicks vs. 76ers
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Iberian Soul - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Iberian Soul - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Envy (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Envy (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A
Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A
Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner