Over the last 90 days, baws closed 1 resolved position on Polymarket at an average return of +739% per position. Based on Sirtio's skill model, baws has consistently outperformed the average tracked trader and currently sits at rank #50 on Sirtio's leaderboard.
Rank
#50
Sirtio score
76.0
Avg edge (per position)
+739%
Positions (90d)
1
Heads up: a win has to be redeemed to become real money, but a losing position that settled at $0 never has to be -- so the 1 closed positions this score is based on skew toward wins by construction, not necessarily by skill. An estimated 99% of baws's real money hasn't gone through that filter yet, so the Avg edge and Sirtio Score above could be flattering their true record until more of it resolves.
See the full methodology for how each piece is calculated.
Raw avg return
+739%
across 1 position
Z-score
+7.17
distance from average, adjusted for confidence
Sirtio score
76.0
The exact weighting is part of the model we keep private (see methodology), but every number above is this trader's real, calculated value at that step.
The best single trade in this window was +$33,670 on "Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?" (a 739% return). Every resolved position in this window closed in the green -- no losses to report. That single trade alone accounts for more than half of this trader's total realized gains in the window, worth keeping in mind when weighing consistency.
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Yes
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Yes
No losing positions in this window.
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?